philoclimate.ch

BIB  Help  Log in
Make a suggestion
Full text resolver:

Subjects » Reliability & uncertainty

Issues related to the trustworthiness of the future climate projections and to the characterization of the related uncertainties.

References (71)

The subject ‘Reliability & uncertainty’ is applied to these references.

  1. Model spread and progress in climate modelling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2021 Jebeile, Julie, Barberousse, Anouk

    Communication of uncertainties, Reliability & uncertainty

  2. Numerical instability and dynamical systems. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2021 Ardourel, Vincent, Jebeile, Julie

    Reliability & uncertainty

  3. Climate Models and the Irrelevance of Chaos. Philosophy of Science. 2021 Dethier, Corey

    Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

  4. Uncertainties, Values, and Climate Targets. Philosophy of Science. 2020 Frisch, Mathias

    Reliability & uncertainty, Values

  5. Argument-based assessment of predictive uncertainty of data-driven environmental models. Environmental Modelling & Software. 2020 Knüsel, Benedikt, Baumberger, Christoph, Zumwald, Marius, Bresch, David N., Knutti, Reto

    Data, Reliability & uncertainty

  6. Understanding and assessing uncertainty of observational climate datasets for model evaluation using ensembles. WIREs Climate Change. 2020 Zumwald, Marius, Knüsel, Benedikt, Baumberger, Christoph, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Bresch, David N., Knutti, Reto

    Ensemble methods, Reliability & uncertainty

  7. Confident, likely, or both? The implementation of the uncertainty language framework in IPCC special reports. Climatic Change. 2020 Janzwood, Scott

    Communication of uncertainties, Expert judgement, Reliability & uncertainty

  8. Evidence and Knowledge from Computer Simulation. Erkenntnis. 2020 Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Reliability & uncertainty

  9. Initial-Condition Dependence and Initial-Condition Uncertainty in Climate Science. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. 2019 Werndl, Charlotte

    Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty, Theoretical foundations

    Full textCitesCited by
    Note

    An outline of predictions and projections in climate science through the lens of initial-condition dependence and initial-condition uncertainty. During the discussion of uncertainty, Werndl outlines two types which had not been discussed to much extent in the philosophical community. This new insight leads to many conclusions throughout the entirety of the paper.

  10. Incorporating User Values into Climate Services. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2019 Parker, Wendy S., Lusk, Greg

    Adaptation, Reliability & uncertainty, Values

  11. An antidote for hawkmoths: on the prevalence of structural chaos in non-linear modeling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2019 Nabergall, Lukas, Navas, Alejandro, Winsberg, Eric

    Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

  12. Establishing causation in climate litigation: admissibility and reliability. Climatic Change. 2019 Pfrommer, Tobias, Goeschl, Timo, Proelss, Alexander, Carrier, Martin, Lenhard, Johannes, Martin, Henrike, Niemeier, Ulrike, Schmidt, Hauke

    Attribution, Extreme events, Reliability & uncertainty

  13. Uncertainty Quantification Using Multiple Models—Prospects and Challenges. Simulation Foundations, Methods and Applications. 2019 Knutti, Reto, Baumberger, Christoph, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude

    Ensemble methods, Reliability & uncertainty

  14. Combining probability with qualitative degree-of-certainty metrics in assessment. Climatic Change. 2018 Helgeson, Casey, Bradley, Richard, Hill, Brian

    Communication of uncertainties, Reliability & uncertainty

  15. Modeling Climate Policies: The Social Cost of Carbon and Uncertainties in Climate Predictions. Climate Modelling. 2018 Frisch, Mathias

    Reliability & uncertainty

  16. The Significance of Robust Climate Projections. Climate Modelling. 2018 Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods, Reliability & uncertainty, Robustness, Robustness

  17. Communicating Uncertainty to Policymakers: The Ineliminable Role of Values. Climate Modelling. 2018 Winsberg, Eric

    Communication of uncertainties, Reliability & uncertainty, Values

  18. Reply to “Comments on ‘Reanalyses and Observations: What’s the Difference?’”. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2017 Parker, Wendy S.

    Data, Reanalysis, Reliability & uncertainty

  19. Assessing climate change impacts on extreme weather events: the case for an alternative (Bayesian) approach. Climatic Change. 2017 Mann, Michael E., Lloyd, Elisabeth A., Oreskes, Naomi

    Attribution, Extreme events, Reliability & uncertainty

  20. Facing the Credibility Crisis of Science: On the Ambivalent Role of Pluralism in Establishing Relevance and Reliability. Perspectives on Science. 2017 Carrier, Martin

    Reliability & uncertainty

  21. Values and evidence: how models make a difference. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2017 Parker, Wendy S., Winsberg, Eric

    Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty, Values

  22. Climate Change Assessments: Confidence, Probability, and Decision. Philosophy of Science. 2017 Bradley, Richard, Helgeson, Casey, Hill, Brian

    Communication of uncertainties, Decision-making, Reliability & uncertainty

  23. “Agreement” in the IPCC Confidence measure. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2017 Rehg, William, Staley, Kent

    Communication of uncertainties, Expert judgement, Reliability & uncertainty

  24. Conceptualizing Uncertainty: An Assessment of the Uncertainty Framework of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. European Studies in Philosophy of Science. 2017 Wüthrich, Nicolas

    Communication of uncertainties, Expert judgement, Reliability & uncertainty

  25. Missing the Forest for the Fish: How Much Does the ‘Hawkmoth Effect’ Threaten the Viability of Climate Projections? Philosophy of Science. 2016 Goodwin, William M., Winsberg, Eric

    Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

  26. Expert Judgment for Climate Change Adaptation. Philosophy of Science. 2016 Thompson, Erica, Frigg, Roman, Helgeson, Casey

    Expert judgement, Reliability & uncertainty

  27. Is it appropriate to ‘target’ inappropriate dissent? on the normative consequences of climate skepticism. Synthese. 2016 Leuschner, Anna

    Climate change communication, Communication of uncertainties, Communication of uncertainties, Reliability & uncertainty, Values

  28. Reanalyses and Observations: What’s the Difference? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2016 Parker, Wendy S.

    Data, Reanalysis, Reliability & uncertainty

  29. Accounting for Possibilities in Decision Making. Logic, Argumentation & Reasoning. 2016 Betz, Gregor

    Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty

  30. False precision, surprise and improved uncertainty assessment. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2015 Parker, Wendy S., Risbey, James S.

    Communication of uncertainties, Reliability & uncertainty

  31. Environmental Science. Oxford Handbooks Online. 2015 Parker, Wendy

    Reliability & uncertainty, Values

  32. Making Climate Decisions. Philosophy Compass. 2015 Bradley, Richard, Steele, Katie

    Decision-making, Reliability & uncertainty

  33. The unseen uncertainties in climate change: reviewing comprehension of an IPCC scenario graph. Climatic Change. 2015 McMahon, Rosemarie, Stauffacher, Michael, Knutti, Reto

    Communication of uncertainties, Reliability & uncertainty, Understanding & explanation

  34. Uncertainties, Plurality, and Robustness in Climate Research and Modeling: On the Reliability of Climate Prognoses. Journal for General Philosophy of Science. 2015 Leuschner, Anna

    Ensemble methods, Reliability & uncertainty, Robustness

  35. Climate skepticism and the manufacture of doubt: can dissent in science be epistemically detrimental? European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2015 Biddle, Justin B., Leuschner, Anna

    Climate change communication, Communication of uncertainties, Communication of uncertainties, Reliability & uncertainty, Values

  36. An assessment of the foundational assumptions in high-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09. Synthese. 2015 Frigg, Roman, Smith, Leonard A., Stainforth, David A.

    Regional climate modelling, Reliability & uncertainty

  37. Are climate models credible worlds? Prospects and limitations of possibilistic climate prediction. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2015 Betz, Gregor

    Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty

  38. Climate Simulations: Uncertain Projections for an Uncertain World. Journal for General Philosophy of Science. 2014 Hillerbrand, Rafaela

    Reliability & uncertainty

  39. Model uncertainty and policy choice: A plea for integrated subjectivism. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2014 Isaac, Alistair M.C.

    Decision-making, Reliability & uncertainty, Values

  40. The example of the IPCC does not vindicate the Value Free Ideal: a reply to Gregor Betz. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2014 John, Stephen

    Communication of uncertainties, Reliability & uncertainty, Values

  41. Values and uncertainties in climate prediction, revisited. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2014 Parker, Wendy

    Confirmation & evaluation, Reliability & uncertainty, Values

  42. The epistemology of climate models and some of its implications for climate science and the philosophy of science. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2014 Katzav, Joel

    Confirmation & evaluation, Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty

  43. MODEL ERROR AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTING: A CAUTIONARY TALE. Scientific Explanation and Methodology of Science. 2014 Bradley, Seamus, Frigg, Roman, Du, Hailiang, Smith, Leonard A.

    Ensemble methods, Reliability & uncertainty

  44. Laplace’s Demon and the Adventures of His Apprentices. Philosophy of Science. 2014 Frigg, Roman, Bradley, Seamus, Du, Hailiang, Smith, Leonard A.

    Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

  45. The Myopia of Imperfect Climate Models: The Case of UKCP09. Philosophy of Science. 2013 Frigg, Roman, Smith, Leonard A., Stainforth, David A.

    Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

  46. Chaos, Plurality, and Model Metrics in Climate Science. Models, Simulations, and the Reduction of Complexity. 2013 Betz, Gregor

    Reliability & uncertainty

  47. Values and Uncertainty in Simulation Models. Erkenntnis. 2013 Morrison, Margaret

    Reliability & uncertainty, Values

  48. How Uncertain Do We Need to Be? Erkenntnis. 2013 Williamson, Jon

    Communication of uncertainties, Expert judgement, Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty

  49. Ensemble modeling, uncertainty and robust predictions. WIREs Climate Change. 2013 Parker, Wendy S.

    Ensemble methods, Reliability & uncertainty, Robustness

  50. Probabilistic Forecasting: Why Model Imperfection Is a Poison Pill. New Challenges to Philosophy of Science. 2013 Frigg, Roman, Bradley, Seamus, Machete, Reason L., Smith, Leonard A.

    Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

  51. Assessing climate model projections: State of the art and philosophical reflections. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2012 Katzav, Joel, Dijkstra, Henk A., (Jos) de Laat, A.T.J.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Reliability & uncertainty

  52. Robustness and uncertainties in the new CMIP5 climate model projections. Nature Climate Change. 2012 Knutti, Reto, Sedláček, Jan

    Ensemble methods, Reliability & uncertainty, Robustness

  53. The key role of causal explanation in the climate change issue. THEORIA. An International Journal for Theory, History and Foundations of Science. 2012 Pongiglione, Francesca

    Reliability & uncertainty, Understanding & explanation

  54. Values and Uncertainties in the Predictions of Global Climate Models. Kennedy Institute of Ethics Journal. 2012 Winsberg, Eric

    Predictions and projections, Reliability & uncertainty, Values

  55. Uncertainty in science and its role in climate policy. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2011 Smith, Leonard A., Stern, Nicholas

    Communication of uncertainties, Decision-making, Reliability & uncertainty

  56. Mapping model agreement on future climate projections. Geophysical Research Letters. 2011 Tebaldi, Claudia, Arblaster, Julie M., Knutti, Reto

    Ensemble methods, Predictions and projections, Reliability & uncertainty, Robustness

  57. Reasoning about climate uncertainty. Climatic Change. 2011 Curry, Judith

    Climate change communication, Communication of uncertainties, Communication of uncertainties, Reliability & uncertainty, Values

  58. Climate Change and Policy. 2011

    Reliability & uncertainty

  59. Quantification of Uncertainties of Future Climate Change: Challenges and Applications. Philosophy of Science. 2010 Mearns, Linda O.

    Communication of uncertainties, Decision-making, Reliability & uncertainty

  60. Adaptation to Global Warming: Do Climate Models Tell Us What We Need to Know? Philosophy of Science. 2010 Oreskes, Naomi, Stainforth, David A., Smith, Leonard A.

    Adaptation, Confirmation & evaluation, Regional climate modelling, Reliability & uncertainty

  61. Whose Probabilities? Predicting Climate Change with Ensembles of Models. Philosophy of Science. 2010 Parker, Wendy S.

    Ensemble methods, Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty

  62. Predicting weather and climate: Uncertainty, ensembles and probability. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2010 Parker, Wendy S.

    Ensemble methods, Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty

  63. Conceiving Meteorology as the exact science of the atmosphere: Vilhelm Bjerknes's paper of 1904 as a milestone. Meteorologische Zeitschrift. 2009 Gramelsberger, Gabriele

    Reliability & uncertainty

  64. Underdetermination, Model-ensembles and Surprises: On the Epistemology of Scenario-analysis in Climatology. Journal for General Philosophy of Science. 2009 Betz, Gregor

    Ensemble methods, Reliability & uncertainty

  65. What range of future scenarios should climate policy be based on? Modal falsificationism and its limitations. Philosophia Naturalis. 2009 Betz, Gregor

    Reliability & uncertainty

  66. Should we believe model predictions of future climate change? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2008 Knutti, Reto

    Confirmation & evaluation, Reliability & uncertainty

  67. Probabilities in climate policy advice: a critical comment. Climatic Change. 2007 Betz, Gregor

    Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty

  68. Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2007 Stainforth, D.A, Allen, M.R, Tredger, E.R, Smith, L.A

    Calibration/tuning, Decision-making, Reliability & uncertainty

  69. Understanding Pluralism in Climate Modeling. Foundations of Science. 2006 Parker, W. S.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods, Reliability & uncertainty

  70. The Scientific Consensus on Climate Change. Science. 2004 Oreskes, Naomi

    Expert judgement, Reliability & uncertainty

  71. Status and Improvements of Coupled General Circulation Models. Science. 2000 Grassl, Hartmut

    Reliability & uncertainty