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On the appropriate and inappropriate uses of probability distributions in climate projections and some alternatives. Climatic Change. 2021 Katzav, Joel, Thompson, Erica L., Risbey, James, Stainforth, David A., Bradley, Seamus, Frisch, Mathias

Decision-making, Ensemble methods, Expert judgement, Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty

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Cites (12)

Citations in the corpus, listed by decreasing publication date.

  1. Practice and philosophy of climate model tuning across six US modeling centers. Geoscientific Model Development. 2017 Schmidt, Gavin A., Bader, David, Donner, Leo J., Elsaesser, Gregory S., Golaz, Jean-Christophe, Hannay, Cecile, Molod, Andrea, Neale, Richard B., Saha, Suranjana

    Calibration/tuning, Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods

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  2. Values and evidence: how models make a difference. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2017 Parker, Wendy S., Winsberg, Eric

    Inductive risk, Value-free ideal, Values

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  3. Building confidence in climate model projections: an analysis of inferences from fit. WIREs Climate Change. 2017 Baumberger, Christoph, Knutti, Reto, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude

    Confirmation & evaluation, Robustness

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  4. Expert Judgment for Climate Change Adaptation. Philosophy of Science. 2016 Thompson, Erica, Frigg, Roman, Helgeson, Casey

    Expert judgement, Reliability & uncertainty

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  5. Accounting for Possibilities in Decision Making. In Logic, Argumentation & Reasoning. 2016 Betz, Gregor

    Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty

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  6. The future of climate modeling. Climatic Change. 2015 Katzav, Joel, Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation

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  7. A practical philosophy of complex climate modelling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2014 Schmidt, Gavin A., Sherwood, Steven

    Calibration/tuning, Confirmation & evaluation

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  8. The epistemology of climate models and some of its implications for climate science and the philosophy of science. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2014 Katzav, Joel

    Confirmation & evaluation, Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty

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  9. Severe testing of climate change hypotheses. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2013 Katzav, Joel

    Confirmation & evaluation

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  10. An expert judgement assessment of future sea level rise from the ice sheets. Nature Climate Change. 2013 Bamber, J. L., Aspinall, W. P.

    Expert judgement

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  11. Whose Probabilities? Predicting Climate Change with Ensembles of Models. Philosophy of Science. 2010 Parker, Wendy S.

    Ensemble methods, Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty

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  12. Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2007 Stainforth, D.A, Allen, M.R, Tredger, E.R, Smith, L.A

    Calibration/tuning, Decision-making, Reliability & uncertainty

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Cited by (2)

Cited by these reference in the corpus, listed by decreasing publication date.

  1. Contrast classes and agreement in climate modeling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2024 Dethier, Corey

    Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods

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  2. Climate tipping points and expert judgment. WIREs Climate Change. 2022 Lam, Vincent, Majszak, Mason M.

    Abrupt changes & tipping points, Earth System Science, Expert judgement, Values

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