Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2007 Stainforth, D.A, Allen, M.R, Tredger, E.R, Smith, L.A

Calibration/tuning, Decision-making, Reliability & uncertainty

What might we learn from climate forecasts? Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2002 Smith, L. A.

Confirmation & evaluation, Hawkmoth effect

Interpreting the Probabilistic Language in IPCC Reports. Ergo an Open Access Journal of Philosophy. 2023 Dethier, Corey

Climate change communication, Communication of uncertainties, Probability & possibility

When is an ensemble like a sample? “Model-based” inferences in climate modeling. Synthese. 2022 Dethier, Corey

Ensemble methods, Reliability & uncertainty

Argument-based assessment of predictive uncertainty of data-driven environmental models. Environmental Modelling & Software. 2020 Knüsel, Benedikt, Baumberger, Christoph, Zumwald, Marius, Bresch, David N., Knutti, Reto

Data, Reliability & uncertainty

Historical, Philosophical, and Sociological Perspectives on Earth System Modeling. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 2020 Rödder, Simone, Heymann, Matthias, Stevens, Bjorn

Climate & climate change, Earth System Science, Predictions and projections

Multi-model ensembles in climate science: Mathematical structures and expert judgements. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2020 Jebeile, Julie, Crucifix, Michel

Ensemble methods

Structural uncertainty through the lens of model building. Synthese. 2020 Baldissera Pacchetti, Marina

Parameterization, Reliability & uncertainty, Structural model error

The strategy of model building in climate science. Synthese. 2020 Walmsley, Lachlan Douglas

Uncertainty Quantification Using Multiple Models—Prospects and Challenges. In Simulation Foundations, Methods and Applications. 2019 Knutti, Reto, Baumberger, Christoph, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude

Ensemble methods, Reliability & uncertainty

Issues in the theoretical foundations of climate science. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2018 Katzav, Joel, Parker, Wendy S.

Climate & climate change, Theoretical foundations, Variability

Building Trust, Removing Doubt? Robustness Analysis and Climate Modeling. In Climate Modelling. 2018 Odenbaugh, Jay

Confirmation & evaluation, Robustness

Variety-of-evidence reasoning about the distant past. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2016 Vezér, Martin A.

Data, Proxies

Climate Change Through the Lens of Feminist Philosophy. In Boston Studies in the Philosophy and History of Science. 2015 Tuana, Nancy

Social Epistemologies

An assessment of the foundational assumptions in high-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09. Synthese. 2015 Frigg, Roman, Smith, Leonard A., Stainforth, David A.

Regional climate modelling, Reliability & uncertainty

Introduction to Assessing climate models: knowledge, values and policy. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2015 Katzav, Joel, Parker, Wendy S.

Confirmation & evaluation, Values

Are climate models credible worlds? Prospects and limitations of possibilistic climate prediction. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2015 Betz, Gregor

Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty

Distinguishing between legitimate and illegitimate values in climate modeling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2015 Intemann, Kristen

Values

Climate Simulations: Uncertain Projections for an Uncertain World. Journal for General Philosophy of Science. 2014 Hillerbrand, Rafaela

Reliability & uncertainty

Assessing climate model projections: State of the art and philosophical reflections. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2012 Katzav, Joel, Dijkstra, Henk A., (Jos) de Laat, A.T.J.

Confirmation & evaluation, Reliability & uncertainty