References (26)

These references are contained in ‘Philosophy of Science’.

1. Against “Possibilist” Interpretations of Climate Models. Philosophy of Science. 2023 Dethier, Corey

   Communication of uncertainties, Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty

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2. Can Machines Learn How Clouds Work? The Epistemic Implications of Machine Learning Methods in Climate Science. Philosophy of Science. 2021 Kawamleh, Suzanne

   Calibration/tuning, Parameterization

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3. Making Confident Decisions with Model Ensembles. Philosophy of Science. 2021 Roussos, Joe, Bradley, Richard, Frigg, Roman

   Decision-making, Ensemble methods

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4. Climate Models and the Irrelevance of Chaos. Philosophy of Science. 2021 Dethier, Corey

   Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

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5. Why Simpler Computer Simulation Models Can Be Epistemically Better for Informing Decisions. Philosophy of Science. 2021 Helgeson, Casey, Srikrishnan, Vivek, Keller, Klaus, Tuana, Nancy

   Decision-making

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6. Uncertainties, Values, and Climate Targets. Philosophy of Science. 2020 Frisch, Mathias

   Reliability & uncertainty, Values

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7. Political Legitimacy in the Democratic View: The Case of Climate Services. Philosophy of Science. 2020 Lusk, Greg

   Value-free ideal, Values

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8. Local Model-Data Symbiosis in Meteorology and Climate Science. Philosophy of Science. 2020 Parker, Wendy

   Data

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9. Model Evaluation: An Adequacy-for-Purpose View. Philosophy of Science. 2020 Parker, Wendy S.

   Adequacy-for-purpose, Confirmation & evaluation

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10. Holism, or the Erosion of Modularity: A Methodological Challenge for Validation. Philosophy of Science. 2018 Lenhard, Johannes

    Confirmation & evaluation, Confirmational holism

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11. Climate Change Assessments: Confidence, Probability, and Decision. Philosophy of Science. 2017 Bradley, Richard, Helgeson, Casey, Hill, Brian

    Communication of uncertainties, Decision-making, Reliability & uncertainty

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12. Missing the Forest for the Fish: How Much Does the ‘Hawkmoth Effect’ Threaten the Viability of Climate Projections? Philosophy of Science. 2016 Goodwin, William M., Winsberg, Eric

    Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

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13. The Diversity of Model Tuning Practices in Climate Science. Philosophy of Science. 2016 Steele, Katie, Werndl, Charlotte

    Confirmation & evaluation, Confirmational holism

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    Note

    A discussion of what is dubbed the “intuitive position” of calibration and confirmation of climate models. In short, this position states, the tuning of a model directly influences the evaluation of said model, as a result the values used to tune the model cannot be used in the model’s evaluation. Steele and Werndl focus on the diversity of formal calibration methods and how the different perspectives relate to the intuitive position.

14. Expert Judgment for Climate Change Adaptation. Philosophy of Science. 2016 Thompson, Erica, Frigg, Roman, Helgeson, Casey

    Expert judgement, Reliability & uncertainty

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15. The Risk of Using Inductive Risk to Challenge the Value-Free Ideal. Philosophy of Science. 2016 de Melo-Martín, Inmaculada, Intemann, Kristen

    Inductive risk, Values

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16. Structural Chaos. Philosophy of Science. 2015 Mayo-Wilson, Conor

    Hawkmoth effect

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17. Laplace’s Demon and the Adventures of His Apprentices. Philosophy of Science. 2014 Frigg, Roman, Bradley, Seamus, Du, Hailiang, Smith, Leonard A.

    Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

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18. The Myopia of Imperfect Climate Models: The Case of UKCP09. Philosophy of Science. 2013 Frigg, Roman, Smith, Leonard A., Stainforth, David A.

    Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

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19. Climate Science Controversies and the Demand for Access to Empirical Data. Philosophy of Science. 2012 McAllister, James W.

    Data, Values

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20. The Scientist qua Policy Advisor Makes Value Judgments. Philosophy of Science. 2012 Steele, Katie

    Decision-making, Values

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21. When Climate Models Agree: The Significance of Robust Model Predictions*. Philosophy of Science. 2011 Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods, Robustness, Values

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22. Confirmation and Robustness of Climate Models. Philosophy of Science. 2010 Lloyd, Elisabeth A.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Robustness

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23. Quantification of Uncertainties of Future Climate Change: Challenges and Applications. Philosophy of Science. 2010 Mearns, Linda O.

    Communication of uncertainties, Decision-making, Reliability & uncertainty

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24. Adaptation to Global Warming: Do Climate Models Tell Us What We Need to Know? Philosophy of Science. 2010 Oreskes, Naomi, Stainforth, David A., Smith, Leonard A.

    Adaptation, Confirmation & evaluation, Regional climate modelling, Reliability & uncertainty

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25. Comparative Process Tracing and Climate Change Fingerprints. Philosophy of Science. 2010 Parker, Wendy S.

    Attribution, Confirmation & evaluation, Fingerprint studies

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26. Whose Probabilities? Predicting Climate Change with Ensembles of Models. Philosophy of Science. 2010 Parker, Wendy S.

    Ensemble methods, Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty

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