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An ineffective antidote for hawkmoths. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2022
Cites (11)
Citations in the corpus, listed by decreasing publication date.
Climate modelling and structural stability. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2021
Hawkmoth effect, Structural stability, Theoretical foundations
Initial-Condition Dependence and Initial-Condition Uncertainty in Climate Science. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. 2019
Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty, Theoretical foundations
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An outline of predictions and projections in climate science through the lens of initial-condition dependence and initial-condition uncertainty. During the discussion of uncertainty, Werndl outlines two types which had not been discussed to much extent in the philosophical community. This new insight leads to many conclusions throughout the entirety of the paper.
Missing the Forest for the Fish: How Much Does the ‘Hawkmoth Effect’ Threaten the Viability of Climate Projections? Philosophy of Science. 2016
Expert Judgment for Climate Change Adaptation. Philosophy of Science. 2016
The adventures of climate science in the sweet land of idle arguments. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2016
An assessment of the foundational assumptions in high-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09. Synthese. 2015
Laplace’s Demon and the Adventures of His Apprentices. Philosophy of Science. 2014
The Myopia of Imperfect Climate Models: The Case of UKCP09. Philosophy of Science. 2013
Probabilistic Forecasting: Why Model Imperfection Is a Poison Pill. In New Challenges to Philosophy of Science. 2013
What might we learn from climate forecasts? Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2002
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