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2016

References (14)

References published this year, ordered by earliest, online or print, publication date.

  1. Missing the Forest for the Fish: How Much Does the ‘Hawkmoth Effect’ Threaten the Viability of Climate Projections? Philosophy of Science. 2016 Goodwin, William M., Winsberg, Eric

    Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

  2. The Diversity of Model Tuning Practices in Climate Science. Philosophy of Science. 2016 Steele, Katie, Werndl, Charlotte

    Confirmation & evaluation, Confirmational holism

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    A discussion of what is dubbed the “intuitive position” of calibration and confirmation of climate models. In short, this position states, the tuning of a model directly influences the evaluation of said model, as a result the values used to tune the model cannot be used in the model’s evaluation. Steele and Werndl focus on the diversity of formal calibration methods and how the different perspectives relate to the intuitive position.

  3. Expert Judgment for Climate Change Adaptation. Philosophy of Science. 2016 Thompson, Erica, Frigg, Roman, Helgeson, Casey

    Expert judgement, Reliability & uncertainty

  4. Is it appropriate to ‘target’ inappropriate dissent? on the normative consequences of climate skepticism. Synthese. 2016 Leuschner, Anna

    Climate change communication, Communication of uncertainties, Communication of uncertainties, Reliability & uncertainty, Values

  5. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

    Theoretical foundations, Variability

  6. The Risk of Using Inductive Risk to Challenge the Value-Free Ideal. Philosophy of Science. 2016 de Melo-Martín, Inmaculada, Intemann, Kristen

    Inductive risk, Values

  7. Reanalyses and Observations: What’s the Difference? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2016 Parker, Wendy S.

    Data, Reanalysis, Reliability & uncertainty

  8. Variety-of-evidence reasoning about the distant past. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2016 Vezér, Martin A.

    Data, Proxies

  9. On Defining Climate and Climate Change. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. 2016 Werndl, Charlotte

    Climate & climate change, Theoretical foundations

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    An outline of the ongoing debate regarding how to properly provide a definition of climate and climate change. Werndl first systematizes the debate by providing five desiderata that a proper definition of climate should follow. Ultimately, a number of candidates for a definition are discussed and Werndl argues that a definition focusing on a distribution over time for regimes of varying external conditions is the most promising as it meets all five desiderata.

  10. The adventures of climate science in the sweet land of idle arguments. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2016 Winsberg, Eric, Goodwin, William Mark

    Confirmation & evaluation, Hawkmoth effect

  11. Computer models and the evidence of anthropogenic climate change: An epistemology of variety-of-evidence inferences and robustness analysis. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2016 Vezér, Martin A.

    Attribution, Ensemble methods, Robustness

  12. Risk of multiple interacting tipping points should encourage rapid CO2 emission reduction. Nature Climate Change. 2016 Cai, Yongyang, Lenton, Timothy M., Lontzek, Thomas S.

    Abrupt changes & tipping points

  13. Accounting for Possibilities in Decision Making. Logic, Argumentation & Reasoning. 2016 Betz, Gregor

    Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty

  14. Temporal Strategies for Decision-making. Logic, Argumentation & Reasoning. 2016 Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude