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Understanding Pluralism in Climate Modeling. Foundations of Science. 2006
Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods, Reliability & uncertainty
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Climate Models and Robustness Analysis – Part II: The Justificatory Challenge. In Handbook of the Philosophy of Climate Change. 2023
Data models, representation and adequacy-for-purpose. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2021
Multi-model ensembles in climate science: Mathematical structures and expert judgements. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2020
Structural uncertainty through the lens of model building. Synthese. 2020
Parameterization, Reliability & uncertainty, Structural model error
The strategy of model building in climate science. Synthese. 2020
Climate Model Confirmation: From Philosophy to Predicting Climate in the Real World. In Lloyd, Elisabeth A., Winsberg, Eric (eds.) Climate Modelling. 2018
Building Trust, Removing Doubt? Robustness Analysis and Climate Modeling. In Climate Modelling. 2018
The Significance of Robust Climate Projections. In Climate Modelling. 2018
Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods, Reliability & uncertainty, Robustness, Robustness
Computer models and the evidence of anthropogenic climate change: An epistemology of variety-of-evidence inferences and robustness analysis. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2016
Uncertainties, Plurality, and Robustness in Climate Research and Modeling: On the Reliability of Climate Prognoses. Journal for General Philosophy of Science. 2015
Model robustness as a confirmatory virtue: The case of climate science. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2015
Model uncertainty and policy choice: A plea for integrated subjectivism. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2014
Values and uncertainties in climate prediction, revisited. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2014
Confirmation & evaluation, Reliability & uncertainty, Values
Validation and forecasting accuracy in models of climate change. International Journal of Forecasting. 2011
Conceiving processes in atmospheric models—General equations, subscale parameterizations, and ‘superparameterizations’. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2010
Holism, entrenchment, and the future of climate model pluralism. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2010
Underdetermination, Model-ensembles and Surprises: On the Epistemology of Scenario-analysis in Climatology. Journal for General Philosophy of Science. 2009
I—Elisabeth A. Lloyd: Varieties of Support and Confirmation of Climate Models. Aristotelian Society Supplementary Volume. 2009