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Probabilistic Forecasting: Why Model Imperfection Is a Poison Pill. In New Challenges to Philosophy of Science. 2013
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Hawkmoth effect, Structural stability, Theoretical foundations
An antidote for hawkmoths: on the prevalence of structural chaos in non-linear modeling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2019
Are climate models credible worlds? Prospects and limitations of possibilistic climate prediction. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2015