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Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2007 Stainforth, D.A, Allen, M.R, Tredger, E.R, Smith, L.A

Calibration/tuning, Decision-making, Reliability & uncertainty

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Cites (2)

Citations in the corpus, listed by decreasing publication date.

  1. What might we learn from climate forecasts? Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2002 Smith, L. A.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Hawkmoth effect

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  2. Verification, Validation, and Confirmation of Numerical Models in the Earth Sciences. Science. 1994 Oreskes, Naomi, Shrader-Frechette, Kristin, Belitz, Kenneth

    Confirmation & evaluation, Confirmational holism

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Cited by (26)

Cited by these reference in the corpus, listed by decreasing publication date.

  1. When is an ensemble like a sample? “Model-based” inferences in climate modeling. Synthese. 2022 Dethier, Corey

    Ensemble methods, Reliability & uncertainty

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  2. On the appropriate and inappropriate uses of probability distributions in climate projections and some alternatives. Climatic Change. 2021 Katzav, Joel, Thompson, Erica L., Risbey, James, Stainforth, David A., Bradley, Seamus, Frisch, Mathias

    Decision-making, Ensemble methods, Expert judgement, Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty

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  3. Assessing the quality of state-of-the-art regional climate information: the case of the UK Climate Projections 2018. Climatic Change. 2021 Baldissera Pacchetti, Marina, Dessai, Suraje, Stainforth, David A., Bradley, Seamus

    Adaptation, Adequacy-for-purpose, Climate information distillation, Probability & possibility

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  4. Climate Models: How to Assess Their Reliability. International Studies in the Philosophy of Science. 2019 Carrier, Martin, Lenhard, Johannes

    Confirmation & evaluation, Confirmational holism, Robustness

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  5. “Agreement” in the IPCC Confidence measure. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2017 Rehg, William, Staley, Kent

    Communication of uncertainties, Expert judgement, Reliability & uncertainty

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  6. Building confidence in climate model projections: an analysis of inferences from fit. WIREs Climate Change. 2017 Baumberger, Christoph, Knutti, Reto, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude

    Confirmation & evaluation, Robustness

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  7. Philosophy of Climate Science Part II: Modelling Climate Change. Philosophy Compass. 2015 Frigg, Roman, Thompson, Erica, Werndl, Charlotte

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  8. The future of climate modeling. Climatic Change. 2015 Katzav, Joel, Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation

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  9. An assessment of the foundational assumptions in high-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09. Synthese. 2015 Frigg, Roman, Smith, Leonard A., Stainforth, David A.

    Regional climate modelling, Reliability & uncertainty

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  10. Introduction to Assessing climate models: knowledge, values and policy. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2015 Katzav, Joel, Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Values

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  11. Predictivism and old evidence: a critical look at climate model tuning. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2015 Frisch, Mathias

    Calibration/tuning, Confirmation & evaluation, Confirmational holism

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  12. Predictivism and old evidence: a critical look at climate model tuning. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2015 Frisch, Mathias

    Calibration/tuning, Confirmation & evaluation

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  13. Are climate models credible worlds? Prospects and limitations of possibilistic climate prediction. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2015 Betz, Gregor

    Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty

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  14. Values and uncertainties in climate prediction, revisited. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2014 Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Reliability & uncertainty, Values

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  15. The epistemology of climate models and some of its implications for climate science and the philosophy of science. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2014 Katzav, Joel

    Confirmation & evaluation, Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty

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  16. Severe testing of climate change hypotheses. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2013 Katzav, Joel

    Confirmation & evaluation

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  17. Ensemble modeling, uncertainty and robust predictions. WIREs Climate Change. 2013 Parker, Wendy S.

    Ensemble methods, Reliability & uncertainty, Robustness

    Full textCitesCited by

  18. Modeling Climate Policies: A Critical Look at Integrated Assessment Models. Philosophy & Technology. 2013 Frisch, Mathias

    Understanding & explanation, Values

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  19. In defence of the value free ideal. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2013 Betz, Gregor

    Value-free ideal, Values

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  20. Assessing climate model projections: State of the art and philosophical reflections. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2012 Katzav, Joel, Dijkstra, Henk A., (Jos) de Laat, A.T.J.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Reliability & uncertainty

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  21. Uncertainty in science and its role in climate policy. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2011 Smith, Leonard A., Stern, Nicholas

    Communication of uncertainties, Decision-making, Reliability & uncertainty

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  22. Validation and forecasting accuracy in models of climate change. International Journal of Forecasting. 2011 Fildes, Robert, Kourentzes, Nikolaos

    Confirmation & evaluation

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  23. Reasoning about climate uncertainty. Climatic Change. 2011 Curry, Judith

    Climate change communication, Communication of uncertainties, Communication of uncertainties, Reliability & uncertainty, Values

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  24. Holism, entrenchment, and the future of climate model pluralism. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2010 Lenhard, Johannes, Winsberg, Eric

    Confirmation & evaluation, Confirmational holism

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  25. Predicting weather and climate: Uncertainty, ensembles and probability. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2010 Parker, Wendy S.

    Ensemble methods, Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty

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  26. Should we believe model predictions of future climate change? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2008 Knutti, Reto

    Confirmation & evaluation, Reliability & uncertainty

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