philoclimate.ch

BIB  Help  Log in

Subjects » Confirmation & evaluation

Issues related to the empirical support and general evaluation of climate models.

References (61)

The subject ‘Confirmation & evaluation’ is applied to these references.

  1. Contrast classes and agreement in climate modeling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2024 Dethier, Corey

    Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods

  2. Diagnosing errors in climate model intercomparisons. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2023 O’Loughlin, Ryan

    Confirmation & evaluation, Robustness

  3. Climate Models and Robustness Analysis – Part I: Core Concepts and Premises. In Handbook of the Philosophy of Climate Change. 2023 Harris, Margherita, Frigg, Roman

    Confirmation & evaluation, Robustness

  4. Climate Models and Robustness Analysis – Part II: The Justificatory Challenge. In Handbook of the Philosophy of Climate Change. 2023 Harris, Margherita, Frigg, Roman

    Confirmation & evaluation, Robustness

  5. The epistemic value of independent lies: false analogies and equivocations. Synthese. 2021 Harris, Margherita

    Confirmation & evaluation, Robustness

  6. Robustness reasoning in climate model comparisons. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2021 O’Loughlin, Ryan

    Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods, Robustness

  7. Model Evaluation: An Adequacy-for-Purpose View. Philosophy of Science. 2020 Parker, Wendy S.

    Adequacy-for-purpose, Confirmation & evaluation

  8. Evidence and Knowledge from Computer Simulation. Erkenntnis. 2020 Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Reliability & uncertainty

  9. Philosophical Perspectives on Earth System Modeling: Truth, Adequacy, and Understanding. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 2020 Gramelsberger, G., Lenhard, J., Parker, W.S.

    Adequacy-for-purpose, Confirmation & evaluation, Understanding & explanation

  10. Climate Models: How to Assess Their Reliability. International Studies in the Philosophy of Science. 2019 Carrier, Martin, Lenhard, Johannes

    Confirmation & evaluation, Confirmational holism, Robustness

  11. What Types of Values Enter Simulation Validation and What Are Their Roles? In Simulation Foundations, Methods and Applications. 2019 Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Baumberger, Christoph

    Confirmation & evaluation

  12. Holism, or the Erosion of Modularity: A Methodological Challenge for Validation. Philosophy of Science. 2018 Lenhard, Johannes

    Confirmation & evaluation, Confirmational holism

  13. What does robustness teach us in climate science: a re-appraisal. Synthese. 2018 Winsberg, Eric

    Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods, Robustness, Values

  14. Climate and Simulation. Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Climate Science. 2018 Gramelsberger, Gabriele

    Confirmation & evaluation

  15. Model-Selection Theory: The Need for a More Nuanced Picture of Use-Novelty and Double-Counting. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. 2018 Steele, Katie, Werndl, Charlotte

    Calibration/tuning, Confirmation & evaluation

    Full textCitesCited by
    Note

    A discussion regarding double-counting in climate modeling, arguing that the use-novel intuition largely held in the scientific community, that data used in tuning cannot be used in confirmation, is too crude. Steele and Werndl maintain that the prominent logics of confirmation do not, for varying reasons, support this intuitive position in full.

  16. On Rationales for Cognitive Values in the Assessment of Scientific Representations. Journal for General Philosophy of Science. 2018 Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude

    Confirmation & evaluation

  17. Climate Model Confirmation: From Philosophy to Predicting Climate in the Real World. In Lloyd, Elisabeth A., Winsberg, Eric (eds.) Climate Modelling. 2018 Knutti, Reto

    Confirmation & evaluation, Predictions and projections

  18. Building Trust, Removing Doubt? Robustness Analysis and Climate Modeling. In Climate Modelling. 2018 Odenbaugh, Jay

    Confirmation & evaluation, Robustness

  19. The Significance of Robust Climate Projections. In Climate Modelling. 2018 Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods, Reliability & uncertainty, Robustness, Robustness

  20. Practice and philosophy of climate model tuning across six US modeling centers. Geoscientific Model Development. 2017 Schmidt, Gavin A., Bader, David, Donner, Leo J., Elsaesser, Gregory S., Golaz, Jean-Christophe, Hannay, Cecile, Molod, Andrea, Neale, Richard B., Saha, Suranjana

    Calibration/tuning, Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods

  21. How to develop climate models? The “gamble” of improving climate model parameterizations. In Cultures of Prediction in Atmospheric and Climate Science. 2017 Guillemot, Hélène

    Confirmation & evaluation, Parameterization

  22. The Art and Science of Climate Model Tuning. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2017 Hourdin, Frédéric, Mauritsen, Thorsten, Gettelman, Andrew, Golaz, Jean-Christophe, Balaji, Venkatramani, Duan, Qingyun, Folini, Doris, Ji, Duoying, Klocke, Daniel, Qian, Yun, Rauser, Florian, Rio, Catherine, Tomassini, Lorenzo, Watanabe, Masahiro, Williamson, Daniel

    Calibration/tuning, Confirmation & evaluation, Parameterization

  23. Building confidence in climate model projections: an analysis of inferences from fit. WIREs Climate Change. 2017 Baumberger, Christoph, Knutti, Reto, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude

    Confirmation & evaluation, Robustness

  24. The Diversity of Model Tuning Practices in Climate Science. Philosophy of Science. 2016 Steele, Katie, Werndl, Charlotte

    Confirmation & evaluation, Confirmational holism

    Full textCitesCited by
    Note

    A discussion of what is dubbed the “intuitive position” of calibration and confirmation of climate models. In short, this position states, the tuning of a model directly influences the evaluation of said model, as a result the values used to tune the model cannot be used in the model’s evaluation. Steele and Werndl focus on the diversity of formal calibration methods and how the different perspectives relate to the intuitive position.

  25. The adventures of climate science in the sweet land of idle arguments. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2016 Winsberg, Eric, Goodwin, William Mark

    Confirmation & evaluation, Hawkmoth effect

  26. Global Climate Modeling as Applied Science. Journal for General Philosophy of Science. 2015 Goodwin, William M.

    Confirmation & evaluation

  27. The future of climate modeling. Climatic Change. 2015 Katzav, Joel, Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation

  28. Introduction to Assessing climate models: knowledge, values and policy. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2015 Katzav, Joel, Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Values

  29. Predictivism and old evidence: a critical look at climate model tuning. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2015 Frisch, Mathias

    Calibration/tuning, Confirmation & evaluation, Confirmational holism

  30. Predictivism and old evidence: a critical look at climate model tuning. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2015 Frisch, Mathias

    Calibration/tuning, Confirmation & evaluation

  31. Model robustness as a confirmatory virtue: The case of climate science. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2015 Lloyd, Elisabeth A.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Robustness, Values

  32. A practical philosophy of complex climate modelling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2014 Schmidt, Gavin A., Sherwood, Steven

    Calibration/tuning, Confirmation & evaluation

  33. Going back to basics. Nature Climate Change. 2014 Jakob, Christian

    Confirmation & evaluation, Hawkmoth effect, Theoretical foundations

  34. Simulation and Understanding in the Study of Weather and Climate. Perspectives on Science. 2014 Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Understanding & explanation

  35. Values and uncertainties in climate prediction, revisited. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2014 Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Reliability & uncertainty, Values

  36. The epistemology of climate models and some of its implications for climate science and the philosophy of science. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2014 Katzav, Joel

    Confirmation & evaluation, Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty

  37. Getting (even more) serious about similarity. Biology & Philosophy. 2013 Parker, Wendy S.

    Adequacy-for-purpose, Confirmation & evaluation

  38. Severe testing of climate change hypotheses. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2013 Katzav, Joel

    Confirmation & evaluation

  39. Climate Models, Calibration, and Confirmation. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. 2013 Steele, Katie, Werndl, Charlotte

    Calibration/tuning, Confirmation & evaluation

    Full textCitesCited by
    Note

    A discussion of the problem of double-counting in climate modeling, specifically when the same evidence is used to both calibrate a model and then confirm the adequacy of the results. Steele and Werndl turn to a Baysian approach to argue for a method of incremental confirmation, making double-counting unproblematic. For a response to this argument see Mathias Frisch’s 2015 paper “Predictivism and old evidence: a critical look at climate model tuning”.

  40. Hybrid Models, Climate Models, and Inference to the Best Explanation. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. 2013 Katzav, Joel

    Confirmation & evaluation, Understanding & explanation

  41. Assessing climate model projections: State of the art and philosophical reflections. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2012 Katzav, Joel, Dijkstra, Henk A., (Jos) de Laat, A.T.J.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Reliability & uncertainty

  42. The role of ‘complex’ empiricism in the debates about satellite data and climate models. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2012 Lloyd, Elisabeth A.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Data, Robustness

  43. Validation and forecasting accuracy in models of climate change. International Journal of Forecasting. 2011 Fildes, Robert, Kourentzes, Nikolaos

    Confirmation & evaluation

  44. When Climate Models Agree: The Significance of Robust Model Predictions*. Philosophy of Science. 2011 Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods, Robustness, Values

  45. Should we assess climate model predictions in light of severe tests? Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union. 2011 Katzav, Joel

    Confirmation & evaluation

  46. Confirmation and Robustness of Climate Models. Philosophy of Science. 2010 Lloyd, Elisabeth A.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Robustness

  47. Adaptation to Global Warming: Do Climate Models Tell Us What We Need to Know? Philosophy of Science. 2010 Oreskes, Naomi, Stainforth, David A., Smith, Leonard A.

    Adaptation, Confirmation & evaluation, Regional climate modelling, Reliability & uncertainty

  48. Comparative Process Tracing and Climate Change Fingerprints. Philosophy of Science. 2010 Parker, Wendy S.

    Attribution, Confirmation & evaluation, Fingerprint studies

  49. Conceiving processes in atmospheric models—General equations, subscale parameterizations, and ‘superparameterizations’. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2010 Gramelsberger, Gabriele

    Confirmation & evaluation, Parameterization

  50. Connections between simulations and observation in climate computer modeling. Scientist’s practices and “bottom-up epistemology” lessons. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2010 Guillemot, Hélène

    Confirmation & evaluation

  51. Holism, entrenchment, and the future of climate model pluralism. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2010 Lenhard, Johannes, Winsberg, Eric

    Confirmation & evaluation, Confirmational holism

  52. Generation of Evidence in Simulation Runs: Interlinking With Models for Predicting Weather and Climate Change. Simulation & Gaming. 2010 Gramelsberger, Gabriele

    Confirmation & evaluation

  53. I—Elisabeth A. Lloyd: Varieties of Support and Confirmation of Climate Models. Aristotelian Society Supplementary Volume. 2009 Lloyd, Elisabeth A.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Robustness, Values

  54. II—Wendy S. Parker: Confirmation and adequacy-for-Purpose in Climate Modelling. Aristotelian Society Supplementary Volume. 2009 Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods

  55. Does matter really matter? Computer simulations, experiments, and materiality. Synthese. 2008 Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Data

  56. Should we believe model predictions of future climate change? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2008 Knutti, Reto

    Confirmation & evaluation, Reliability & uncertainty

  57. Computer simulation through an error-statistical lens. Synthese. 2008 Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation

  58. Understanding Pluralism in Climate Modeling. Foundations of Science. 2006 Parker, W. S.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods, Reliability & uncertainty

  59. What might we learn from climate forecasts? Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2002 Smith, L. A.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Hawkmoth effect

  60. Verification, Validation, and Confirmation of Numerical Models in the Earth Sciences. Science. 1994 Oreskes, Naomi, Shrader-Frechette, Kristin, Belitz, Kenneth

    Confirmation & evaluation, Confirmational holism

  61. Why we need lower-performance climate models. Climatic Change. O’Loughlin, Ryan

    Confirmation & evaluation, Robustness