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Subjects » Confirmation & evaluation

Issues related to the empirical support and general evaluation of climate models.

References (55)

The subject ‘Confirmation & evaluation’ is applied to these references.

  1. Robustness reasoning in climate model comparisons. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2021 O’Loughlin, Ryan

    Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods, Robustness

  2. Model Evaluation: An Adequacy-for-Purpose View. Philosophy of Science. 2020 Parker, Wendy S.

    Adequacy-for-purpose, Confirmation & evaluation

  3. Evidence and Knowledge from Computer Simulation. Erkenntnis. 2020 Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Reliability & uncertainty

  4. Philosophical Perspectives on Earth System Modeling: Truth, Adequacy, and Understanding. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 2020 Gramelsberger, G., Lenhard, J., Parker, W.S.

    Adequacy-for-purpose, Confirmation & evaluation, Understanding & explanation

  5. Climate Models: How to Assess Their Reliability. International Studies in the Philosophy of Science. 2019 Carrier, Martin, Lenhard, Johannes

    Confirmation & evaluation, Confirmational holism, Robustness

  6. What Types of Values Enter Simulation Validation and What Are Their Roles? In Simulation Foundations, Methods and Applications. 2019 Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Baumberger, Christoph

    Confirmation & evaluation

  7. Holism, or the Erosion of Modularity: A Methodological Challenge for Validation. Philosophy of Science. 2018 Lenhard, Johannes

    Confirmation & evaluation, Confirmational holism

  8. What does robustness teach us in climate science: a re-appraisal. Synthese. 2018 Winsberg, Eric

    Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods, Robustness, Values

  9. Climate and Simulation. Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Climate Science. 2018 Gramelsberger, Gabriele

    Confirmation & evaluation

  10. Model-Selection Theory: The Need for a More Nuanced Picture of Use-Novelty and Double-Counting. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. 2018 Steele, Katie, Werndl, Charlotte

    Calibration/tuning, Confirmation & evaluation

    Full textCitesCited by
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    A discussion regarding double-counting in climate modeling, arguing that the use-novel intuition largely held in the scientific community, that data used in tuning cannot be used in confirmation, is too crude. Steele and Werndl maintain that the prominent logics of confirmation do not, for varying reasons, support this intuitive position in full.

  11. On Rationales for Cognitive Values in the Assessment of Scientific Representations. Journal for General Philosophy of Science. 2018 Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude

    Confirmation & evaluation

  12. Climate Model Confirmation: From Philosophy to Predicting Climate in the Real World. In Lloyd, Elisabeth A., Winsberg, Eric (eds.) Climate Modelling. 2018 Knutti, Reto

    Confirmation & evaluation, Predictions and projections

  13. Building Trust, Removing Doubt? Robustness Analysis and Climate Modeling. In Climate Modelling. 2018 Odenbaugh, Jay

    Confirmation & evaluation, Robustness

  14. The Significance of Robust Climate Projections. In Climate Modelling. 2018 Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods, Reliability & uncertainty, Robustness, Robustness

  15. Practice and philosophy of climate model tuning across six US modeling centers. Geoscientific Model Development. 2017 Schmidt, Gavin A., Bader, David, Donner, Leo J., Elsaesser, Gregory S., Golaz, Jean-Christophe, Hannay, Cecile, Molod, Andrea, Neale, Richard B., Saha, Suranjana

    Calibration/tuning, Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods

  16. How to develop climate models? The “gamble” of improving climate model parameterizations. In Cultures of Prediction in Atmospheric and Climate Science. 2017 Guillemot, Hélène

    Confirmation & evaluation, Parameterization

  17. The Art and Science of Climate Model Tuning. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2017 Hourdin, Frédéric, Mauritsen, Thorsten, Gettelman, Andrew, Golaz, Jean-Christophe, Balaji, Venkatramani, Duan, Qingyun, Folini, Doris, Ji, Duoying, Klocke, Daniel, Qian, Yun, Rauser, Florian, Rio, Catherine, Tomassini, Lorenzo, Watanabe, Masahiro, Williamson, Daniel

    Calibration/tuning, Confirmation & evaluation, Parameterization

  18. Building confidence in climate model projections: an analysis of inferences from fit. WIREs Climate Change. 2017 Baumberger, Christoph, Knutti, Reto, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude

    Confirmation & evaluation, Robustness

  19. The Diversity of Model Tuning Practices in Climate Science. Philosophy of Science. 2016 Steele, Katie, Werndl, Charlotte

    Confirmation & evaluation, Confirmational holism

    Full textCitesCited by
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    A discussion of what is dubbed the “intuitive position” of calibration and confirmation of climate models. In short, this position states, the tuning of a model directly influences the evaluation of said model, as a result the values used to tune the model cannot be used in the model’s evaluation. Steele and Werndl focus on the diversity of formal calibration methods and how the different perspectives relate to the intuitive position.

  20. The adventures of climate science in the sweet land of idle arguments. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2016 Winsberg, Eric, Goodwin, William Mark

    Confirmation & evaluation, Hawkmoth effect

  21. Global Climate Modeling as Applied Science. Journal for General Philosophy of Science. 2015 Goodwin, William M.

    Confirmation & evaluation

  22. The future of climate modeling. Climatic Change. 2015 Katzav, Joel, Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation

  23. Introduction to Assessing climate models: knowledge, values and policy. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2015 Katzav, Joel, Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Values

  24. Predictivism and old evidence: a critical look at climate model tuning. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2015 Frisch, Mathias

    Calibration/tuning, Confirmation & evaluation, Confirmational holism

  25. Predictivism and old evidence: a critical look at climate model tuning. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2015 Frisch, Mathias

    Calibration/tuning, Confirmation & evaluation

  26. Model robustness as a confirmatory virtue: The case of climate science. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2015 Lloyd, Elisabeth A.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Robustness, Values

  27. A practical philosophy of complex climate modelling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2014 Schmidt, Gavin A., Sherwood, Steven

    Calibration/tuning, Confirmation & evaluation

  28. Going back to basics. Nature Climate Change. 2014 Jakob, Christian

    Confirmation & evaluation, Hawkmoth effect, Theoretical foundations

  29. Simulation and Understanding in the Study of Weather and Climate. Perspectives on Science. 2014 Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Understanding & explanation

  30. Values and uncertainties in climate prediction, revisited. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2014 Parker, Wendy

    Confirmation & evaluation, Reliability & uncertainty, Values

  31. The epistemology of climate models and some of its implications for climate science and the philosophy of science. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2014 Katzav, Joel

    Confirmation & evaluation, Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty

  32. Getting (even more) serious about similarity. Biology & Philosophy. 2013 Parker, Wendy S.

    Adequacy-for-purpose, Confirmation & evaluation

  33. Severe testing of climate change hypotheses. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2013 Katzav, Joel

    Confirmation & evaluation

  34. Climate Models, Calibration, and Confirmation. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. 2013 Steele, Katie, Werndl, Charlotte

    Calibration/tuning, Confirmation & evaluation

    Full textCitesCited by
    Note

    A discussion of the problem of double-counting in climate modeling, specifically when the same evidence is used to both calibrate a model and then confirm the adequacy of the results. Steele and Werndl turn to a Baysian approach to argue for a method of incremental confirmation, making double-counting unproblematic. For a response to this argument see Mathias Frisch’s 2015 paper “Predictivism and old evidence: a critical look at climate model tuning”.

  35. Hybrid Models, Climate Models, and Inference to the Best Explanation. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. 2013 Katzav, Joel

    Confirmation & evaluation, Understanding & explanation

  36. Assessing climate model projections: State of the art and philosophical reflections. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2012 Katzav, Joel, Dijkstra, Henk A., (Jos) de Laat, A.T.J.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Reliability & uncertainty

  37. The role of ‘complex’ empiricism in the debates about satellite data and climate models. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2012 Lloyd, Elisabeth A.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Data, Robustness

  38. Validation and forecasting accuracy in models of climate change. International Journal of Forecasting. 2011 Fildes, Robert, Kourentzes, Nikolaos

    Confirmation & evaluation

  39. When Climate Models Agree: The Significance of Robust Model Predictions*. Philosophy of Science. 2011 Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods, Robustness, Values

  40. Should we assess climate model predictions in light of severe tests? Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union. 2011 Katzav, Joel

    Confirmation & evaluation

  41. Confirmation and Robustness of Climate Models. Philosophy of Science. 2010 Lloyd, Elisabeth A.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Robustness

  42. Adaptation to Global Warming: Do Climate Models Tell Us What We Need to Know? Philosophy of Science. 2010 Oreskes, Naomi, Stainforth, David A., Smith, Leonard A.

    Adaptation, Confirmation & evaluation, Regional climate modelling, Reliability & uncertainty

  43. Comparative Process Tracing and Climate Change Fingerprints. Philosophy of Science. 2010 Parker, Wendy S.

    Attribution, Confirmation & evaluation, Fingerprint studies

  44. Conceiving processes in atmospheric models—General equations, subscale parameterizations, and ‘superparameterizations’. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2010 Gramelsberger, Gabriele

    Confirmation & evaluation, Parameterization

  45. Connections between simulations and observation in climate computer modeling. Scientist’s practices and “bottom-up epistemology” lessons. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2010 Guillemot, Hélène

    Confirmation & evaluation

  46. Holism, entrenchment, and the future of climate model pluralism. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2010 Lenhard, Johannes, Winsberg, Eric

    Confirmation & evaluation, Confirmational holism

  47. Generation of Evidence in Simulation Runs: Interlinking With Models for Predicting Weather and Climate Change. Simulation & Gaming. 2010 Gramelsberger, Gabriele

    Confirmation & evaluation

  48. I—Elisabeth A. Lloyd: Varieties of Support and Confirmation of Climate Models. Aristotelian Society Supplementary Volume. 2009 Lloyd, Elisabeth A.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Robustness, Values

  49. II—Wendy S. Parker: Confirmation and adequacy-for-Purpose in Climate Modelling. Aristotelian Society Supplementary Volume. 2009 Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods

  50. Does matter really matter? Computer simulations, experiments, and materiality. Synthese. 2008 Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Data

  51. Should we believe model predictions of future climate change? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2008 Knutti, Reto

    Confirmation & evaluation, Reliability & uncertainty

  52. Computer simulation through an error-statistical lens. Synthese. 2008 Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation

  53. Understanding Pluralism in Climate Modeling. Foundations of Science. 2006 Parker, W. S.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods, Reliability & uncertainty

  54. What might we learn from climate forecasts? Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2002 Smith, L. A.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Hawkmoth effect

  55. Verification, Validation, and Confirmation of Numerical Models in the Earth Sciences. Science. 1994 Oreskes, Naomi, Shrader-Frechette, Kristin, Belitz, Kenneth

    Confirmation & evaluation, Confirmational holism