References »
An antidote for hawkmoths: on the prevalence of structural chaos in non-linear modeling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2019
Cites (9)
Citations in the corpus, listed by decreasing publication date.
Initial-Condition Dependence and Initial-Condition Uncertainty in Climate Science. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. 2019
Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty, Theoretical foundations
Full textCitesCited byNote
An outline of predictions and projections in climate science through the lens of initial-condition dependence and initial-condition uncertainty. During the discussion of uncertainty, Werndl outlines two types which had not been discussed to much extent in the philosophical community. This new insight leads to many conclusions throughout the entirety of the paper.
The adventures of climate science in the sweet land of idle arguments. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2016
MODEL ERROR AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTING: A CAUTIONARY TALE. In Scientific Explanation and Methodology of Science. 2014
Laplace’s Demon and the Adventures of His Apprentices. Philosophy of Science. 2014
The Myopia of Imperfect Climate Models: The Case of UKCP09. Philosophy of Science. 2013
Probabilistic Forecasting: Why Model Imperfection Is a Poison Pill. In New Challenges to Philosophy of Science. 2013
What might we learn from climate forecasts? Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2002
Cited by (2)
Cited by these reference in the corpus, listed by decreasing publication date.