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Person (234)

Classified by person, in author or editor position.

A. Lloyd, Elisabeth (1)

  1. Climate Modelling. 2018 Unknown

Adler, Carolina (1)

  1. Conceptualizing the transfer of knowledge across cases in transdisciplinary research. Sustainability Science. 2017 Adler, Carolina, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Breu, Thomas, Wiesmann, Urs, Pohl, Christian

Adler, Carolina E. (1)

  1. The IPCC and treatment of uncertainties: topics and sources of dissensus. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change. 2014 Adler, Carolina E., Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude

    Climate change communication Communication of uncertainties

Allen, M.R (1)

  1. Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2007 Stainforth, D.A, Allen, M.R, Tredger, E.R, Smith, L.A

    Calibration/tuning Decision-making Reliability & uncertainty

Arblaster, Julie M. (1)

  1. Mapping model agreement on future climate projections. Geophysical Research Letters. 2011 Tebaldi, Claudia, Arblaster, Julie M., Knutti, Reto

    Ensemble methods Predictions and projections Reliability & uncertainty Robustness

Ardourel, Vincent ORCID (1)

  1. Numerical instability and dynamical systems. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2021 Ardourel, Vincent, Jebeile, Julie

    Reliability & uncertainty

Ashwin, Peter (2)

  1. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

    Theoretical foundations Variability

  2. Tipping points in open systems: bifurcation, noise-induced and rate-dependent examples in the climate system. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2012 Ashwin, Peter, Wieczorek, Sebastian, Vitolo, Renato, Cox, Peter

    Abrupt changes & tipping points

Bader, David ORCID (1)

  1. Practice and philosophy of climate model tuning across six US modeling centers. Geoscientific Model Development. 2017 Schmidt, Gavin A., Bader, David, Donner, Leo J., Elsaesser, Gregory S., Golaz, Jean-Christophe, Hannay, Cecile, Molod, Andrea, Neale, Richard B., Saha, Suranjana

    Calibration/tuning Confirmation & evaluation Ensemble methods

Bakker, Alexander (1)

  1. Epistemic and ethical trade-offs in decision analytical modelling. Climatic Change. 2017 Vezér, Martin, Bakker, Alexander, Keller, Klaus, Tuana, Nancy

    Values

Balaji, Venkatramani (1)

  1. The Art and Science of Climate Model Tuning. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2017 Hourdin, Frédéric, Mauritsen, Thorsten, Gettelman, Andrew, Golaz, Jean-Christophe, Balaji, Venkatramani, Duan, Qingyun, Folini, Doris, Ji, Duoying, Klocke, Daniel, Qian, Yun, Rauser, Florian, Rio, Catherine, Tomassini, Lorenzo, Watanabe, Masahiro, Williamson, Daniel

    Calibration/tuning Confirmation & evaluation Parameterization

Barberousse, Anouk (3)

  1. Model spread and progress in climate modelling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2021 Jebeile, Julie, Barberousse, Anouk

    Communication of uncertainties Reliability & uncertainty

  2. The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project: History, uses, and structural effects on climate research. WIREs Climate Change. 2020 Touzé‐Peiffer, Ludovic, Barberousse, Anouk, Le Treut, Hervé

    Ensemble methods

  3. Empirical Bayes as a Tool. Boston Studies in the Philosophy and History of Science. 2017 Barberousse, Anouk

    Attribution

Barnosky, Anthony D. (1)

  1. Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2018 Steffen, Will, Rockström, Johan, Richardson, Katherine, Lenton, Timothy M., Folke, Carl, Liverman, Diana, Summerhayes, Colin P., Barnosky, Anthony D., Cornell, Sarah E., Crucifix, Michel, Donges, Jonathan F., Fetzer, Ingo, Lade, Steven J., Scheffer, Marten, Winkelmann, Ricarda, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim

    Abrupt changes & tipping points

Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba (1)

  1. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

    Theoretical foundations Variability

Bathiany, S. (3)

  1. Abrupt Climate Change in an Oscillating World. Scientific Reports. 2018 Bathiany, S., Scheffer, M., van Nes, E. H., Williamson, M. S., Lenton, T. M.

    Abrupt changes & tipping points

  2. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

    Theoretical foundations Variability

  3. Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2015 Drijfhout, Sybren, Bathiany, Sebastian, Beaulieu, Claudie, Brovkin, Victor, Claussen, Martin, Huntingford, Chris, Scheffer, Marten, Sgubin, Giovanni, Swingedouw, Didier

    Abrupt changes & tipping points

Baumberger, Christoph ORCID (8)

  1. Argument-based assessment of predictive uncertainty of data-driven environmental models. Environmental Modelling & Software. 2020 Knüsel, Benedikt, Baumberger, Christoph, Zumwald, Marius, Bresch, David N., Knutti, Reto

    Data Reliability & uncertainty

  2. Understanding climate phenomena with data-driven models. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2020 Knüsel, Benedikt, Baumberger, Christoph

    Understanding & explanation

  3. Understanding and assessing uncertainty of observational climate datasets for model evaluation using ensembles. WIREs Climate Change. 2020 Zumwald, Marius, Knüsel, Benedikt, Baumberger, Christoph, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Bresch, David N., Knutti, Reto

    Ensemble methods Reliability & uncertainty

  4. Explicating Objectual Understanding: Taking Degrees Seriously. Journal for General Philosophy of Science. 2019 Baumberger, Christoph

    Understanding & explanation

  5. Applying big data beyond small problems in climate research. Nature Climate Change. 2019 Knüsel, Benedikt, Zumwald, Marius, Baumberger, Christoph, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Fischer, Erich M., Bresch, David N., Knutti, Reto

    Data

  6. Uncertainty Quantification Using Multiple Models—Prospects and Challenges. Simulation Foundations, Methods and Applications. 2019 Knutti, Reto, Baumberger, Christoph, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude

    Ensemble methods Reliability & uncertainty

  7. What Types of Values Enter Simulation Validation and What Are Their Roles?. Simulation Foundations, Methods and Applications. 2019 Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Baumberger, Christoph

    Confirmation & evaluation

  8. Building confidence in climate model projections: an analysis of inferences from fit. WIREs Climate Change. 2017 Baumberger, Christoph, Knutti, Reto, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude

    Confirmation & evaluation Robustness

Beaulieu, Claudie (1)

  1. Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2015 Drijfhout, Sybren, Bathiany, Sebastian, Beaulieu, Claudie, Brovkin, Victor, Claussen, Martin, Huntingford, Chris, Scheffer, Marten, Sgubin, Giovanni, Swingedouw, Didier

    Abrupt changes & tipping points

Belitz, K. (1)

  1. Verification, Validation, and Confirmation of Numerical Models in the Earth Sciences. Science. 1994 Oreskes, N., Shrader-Frechette, K., Belitz, K.

    Confirmation & evaluation Confirmational holism

Beniston, Martin (1)

  1. Nonlinearities, Feedbacks and Critical Thresholds within the Earth's Climate System. Climatic Change. 2004 Rial, José A., Pielke Sr., Roger A., Beniston, Martin, Claussen, Martin, Canadell, Josep, Cox, Peter, Held, Hermann, de Noblet-Ducoudré, Nathalie, Prinn, Ronald, Reynolds, James F., Salas, José D.

    Abrupt changes & tipping points

Berends, Tijn (1)

  1. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

    Theoretical foundations Variability

Betz, Gregor (10)

  1. Why the Argument from Inductive Risk Doesn’t Justify Incorporating Non-Epistemic Values in Scientific Reasoning. Current Controversies in Values and Science. 2017 Betz, Gregor

    Inductive risk Values

  2. Accounting for Possibilities in Decision Making. Logic, Argumentation & Reasoning. 2016 Betz, Gregor

    Probability & possibility Reliability & uncertainty

  3. Factual and normative dissent in media debates about climate policy. Climatic Change. 2015 Betz, Gregor

  4. Are climate models credible worlds? Prospects and limitations of possibilistic climate prediction. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2015 Betz, Gregor

    Probability & possibility Reliability & uncertainty

  5. In defence of the value free ideal. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2013 Betz, Gregor

    Value-free ideal Values

  6. Climate Engineering. Handbuch Technikethik. 2013 Betz, Gregor

  7. The case for climate engineering research: an analysis of the “arm the future” argument. Climatic Change. 2011 Betz, Gregor

  8. Underdetermination, Model-ensembles and Surprises: On the Epistemology of Scenario-analysis in Climatology. Journal for General Philosophy of Science. 2009 Betz, Gregor

    Ensemble methods Reliability & uncertainty

  9. What range of future scenarios should climate policy be based on? Modal falsificationism and its limitations. Philosophia Naturalis. 2009 Betz, Gregor

    Reliability & uncertainty

  10. Probabilities in climate policy advice: a critical comment. Climatic Change. 2007 Betz, Gregor

    Probability & possibility Reliability & uncertainty

Bird, Rebecca Bliege (1)

  1. Learning About Forest Futures Under Climate Change Through Transdisciplinary Collaboration Across Traditional and Western Knowledge Systems. Collaboration Across Boundaries for Social-Ecological Systems Science. 2019 Smithwick, Erica A. H., Caldwell, Christopher, Klippel, Alexander, Scheller, Robert M., Tuana, Nancy, Bird, Rebecca Bliege, Keller, Klaus, Vickers, Dennis, Lucash, Melissa, Nicholas, Robert E., Olson, Stacey, Ruckert, Kelsey L., Oyler, Jared, Helgeson, Casey, Huang, Jiawei

Bodenmann, Tom (2)

  1. How understanding causal relations counts in criticising arguments against anthropogenic global climate change. Meteorologische Zeitschrift. 2014 Bodenmann, Tom, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude

    Understanding & explanation

  2. Perceiving, explaining, and observing climatic changes: An historical case study of the "year without a summer" 1816. Meteorologische Zeitschrift. 2011 Bodenmann, Tom, Brönnimann, Stefan, Hadorn, Gertrude Hirsch, Krüger, Tobias, Weissert, Helmut

    Understanding & explanation

Bradley, Richard (3)

  1. Combining probability with qualitative degree-of-certainty metrics in assessment. Climatic Change. 2018 Helgeson, Casey, Bradley, Richard, Hill, Brian

    Communication of uncertainties Reliability & uncertainty

  2. Climate Change Assessments: Confidence, Probability, and Decision. Philosophy of Science. 2017 Bradley, Richard, Helgeson, Casey, Hill, Brian

    Communication of uncertainties Decision-making Reliability & uncertainty

  3. Making Climate Decisions. Philosophy Compass. 2015 Bradley, Richard, Steele, Katie

    Decision-making Reliability & uncertainty

BRADLEY, SEAMUS (3)

  1. MODEL ERROR AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTING: A CAUTIONARY TALE. Scientific Explanation and Methodology of Science. 2014 BRADLEY, SEAMUS, FRIGG, ROMAN, DU, HAILIANG, SMITH, LEONARD A.

    Ensemble methods Reliability & uncertainty

  2. Laplace’s Demon and the Adventures of His Apprentices. Philosophy of Science. 2014 Frigg, Roman, Bradley, Seamus, Du, Hailiang, Smith, Leonard A.

    Hawkmoth effect Reliability & uncertainty

  3. Probabilistic Forecasting: Why Model Imperfection Is a Poison Pill. New Challenges to Philosophy of Science. 2013 Frigg, Roman, Bradley, Seamus, Machete, Reason L., Smith, Leonard A.

    Hawkmoth effect Reliability & uncertainty

Bresch, David N. (3)

  1. Argument-based assessment of predictive uncertainty of data-driven environmental models. Environmental Modelling & Software. 2020 Knüsel, Benedikt, Baumberger, Christoph, Zumwald, Marius, Bresch, David N., Knutti, Reto

    Data Reliability & uncertainty

  2. Understanding and assessing uncertainty of observational climate datasets for model evaluation using ensembles. WIREs Climate Change. 2020 Zumwald, Marius, Knüsel, Benedikt, Baumberger, Christoph, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Bresch, David N., Knutti, Reto

    Ensemble methods Reliability & uncertainty

  3. Applying big data beyond small problems in climate research. Nature Climate Change. 2019 Knüsel, Benedikt, Zumwald, Marius, Baumberger, Christoph, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Fischer, Erich M., Bresch, David N., Knutti, Reto

    Data

Breu, Thomas (1)

  1. Conceptualizing the transfer of knowledge across cases in transdisciplinary research. Sustainability Science. 2017 Adler, Carolina, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Breu, Thomas, Wiesmann, Urs, Pohl, Christian

Brovkin, Victor (1)

  1. Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2015 Drijfhout, Sybren, Bathiany, Sebastian, Beaulieu, Claudie, Brovkin, Victor, Claussen, Martin, Huntingford, Chris, Scheffer, Marten, Sgubin, Giovanni, Swingedouw, Didier

    Abrupt changes & tipping points

Brun, Georg ORCID (1)

  1. Decision strategies for policy decisions under uncertainties: The case of mitigation measures addressing methane emissions from ruminants. Environmental Science & Policy. 2015 Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Brun, Georg, Soliva, Carla Riccarda, Stenke, Andrea, Peter, Thomas

    Decision-making

Brönnimann, Stefan (1)

  1. Perceiving, explaining, and observing climatic changes: An historical case study of the "year without a summer" 1816. Meteorologische Zeitschrift. 2011 Bodenmann, Tom, Brönnimann, Stefan, Hadorn, Gertrude Hirsch, Krüger, Tobias, Weissert, Helmut

    Understanding & explanation

Caballero, Rodrigo (1)

  1. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

    Theoretical foundations Variability

Cai, Yongyang ORCID (2)

  1. Risk of multiple interacting tipping points should encourage rapid CO2 emission reduction. Nature Climate Change. 2016 Cai, Yongyang, Lenton, Timothy M., Lontzek, Thomas S.

    Abrupt changes & tipping points

  2. Stochastic integrated assessment of climate tipping points indicates the need for strict climate policy. Nature Climate Change. 2015 Lontzek, Thomas S., Cai, Yongyang, Judd, Kenneth L., Lenton, Timothy M.

    Abrupt changes & tipping points

Caldwell, Christopher (1)

  1. Learning About Forest Futures Under Climate Change Through Transdisciplinary Collaboration Across Traditional and Western Knowledge Systems. Collaboration Across Boundaries for Social-Ecological Systems Science. 2019 Smithwick, Erica A. H., Caldwell, Christopher, Klippel, Alexander, Scheller, Robert M., Tuana, Nancy, Bird, Rebecca Bliege, Keller, Klaus, Vickers, Dennis, Lucash, Melissa, Nicholas, Robert E., Olson, Stacey, Ruckert, Kelsey L., Oyler, Jared, Helgeson, Casey, Huang, Jiawei

Canadell, Josep (1)

  1. Nonlinearities, Feedbacks and Critical Thresholds within the Earth's Climate System. Climatic Change. 2004 Rial, José A., Pielke Sr., Roger A., Beniston, Martin, Claussen, Martin, Canadell, Josep, Cox, Peter, Held, Hermann, de Noblet-Ducoudré, Nathalie, Prinn, Ronald, Reynolds, James F., Salas, José D.

    Abrupt changes & tipping points

Carrier, Martin (4)

  1. Climate Models: How to Assess Their Reliability. International Studies in the Philosophy of Science. 2019 Carrier, Martin, Lenhard, Johannes

    Confirmation & evaluation Confirmational holism Robustness

  2. Establishing causation in climate litigation: admissibility and reliability. Climatic Change. 2019 Pfrommer, Tobias, Goeschl, Timo, Proelss, Alexander, Carrier, Martin, Lenhard, Johannes, Martin, Henrike, Niemeier, Ulrike, Schmidt, Hauke

    Attribution Extreme events Reliability & uncertainty

  3. Facing the Credibility Crisis of Science: On the Ambivalent Role of Pluralism in Establishing Relevance and Reliability. Perspectives on Science. 2017 Carrier, Martin

    Reliability & uncertainty

  4. Values and Objectivity in Science: Value-Ladenness, Pluralism and the Epistemic Attitude. Science & Education. 2012 Carrier, Martin

    Inductive risk Value-free ideal Values

Claussen, Martin (2)

  1. Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2015 Drijfhout, Sybren, Bathiany, Sebastian, Beaulieu, Claudie, Brovkin, Victor, Claussen, Martin, Huntingford, Chris, Scheffer, Marten, Sgubin, Giovanni, Swingedouw, Didier

    Abrupt changes & tipping points

  2. Nonlinearities, Feedbacks and Critical Thresholds within the Earth's Climate System. Climatic Change. 2004 Rial, José A., Pielke Sr., Roger A., Beniston, Martin, Claussen, Martin, Canadell, Josep, Cox, Peter, Held, Hermann, de Noblet-Ducoudré, Nathalie, Prinn, Ronald, Reynolds, James F., Salas, José D.

    Abrupt changes & tipping points

Cornell, Sarah E. (1)

  1. Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2018 Steffen, Will, Rockström, Johan, Richardson, Katherine, Lenton, Timothy M., Folke, Carl, Liverman, Diana, Summerhayes, Colin P., Barnosky, Anthony D., Cornell, Sarah E., Crucifix, Michel, Donges, Jonathan F., Fetzer, Ingo, Lade, Steven J., Scheffer, Marten, Winkelmann, Ricarda, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim

    Abrupt changes & tipping points

Cox, Peter (2)

  1. Tipping points in open systems: bifurcation, noise-induced and rate-dependent examples in the climate system. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2012 Ashwin, Peter, Wieczorek, Sebastian, Vitolo, Renato, Cox, Peter

    Abrupt changes & tipping points

  2. Nonlinearities, Feedbacks and Critical Thresholds within the Earth's Climate System. Climatic Change. 2004 Rial, José A., Pielke Sr., Roger A., Beniston, Martin, Claussen, Martin, Canadell, Josep, Cox, Peter, Held, Hermann, de Noblet-Ducoudré, Nathalie, Prinn, Ronald, Reynolds, James F., Salas, José D.

    Abrupt changes & tipping points

Crucifix, Michel (4)

  1. Value management and model pluralism in climate science. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2021 Jebeile, Julie, Crucifix, Michel

    Value-free ideal Values

  2. Multi-model ensembles in climate science: Mathematical structures and expert judgements. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2020 Jebeile, Julie, Crucifix, Michel

    Ensemble methods

  3. Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2018 Steffen, Will, Rockström, Johan, Richardson, Katherine, Lenton, Timothy M., Folke, Carl, Liverman, Diana, Summerhayes, Colin P., Barnosky, Anthony D., Cornell, Sarah E., Crucifix, Michel, Donges, Jonathan F., Fetzer, Ingo, Lade, Steven J., Scheffer, Marten, Winkelmann, Ricarda, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim

    Abrupt changes & tipping points

  4. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

    Theoretical foundations Variability

Curry, Judith (1)

  1. Reasoning about climate uncertainty. Climatic Change. 2011 Curry, Judith

    Climate change communication Communication of uncertainties Reliability & uncertainty Values

Dijkstra, Henk A. (4)

  1. Numerical Bifurcation Methods applied to Climate Models: Analysis beyond Simulation. 2019 Dijkstra, Henk A.

    Abrupt changes & tipping points

  2. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

    Theoretical foundations Variability

  3. Assessing climate model projections: State of the art and philosophical reflections. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2012 Katzav, Joel, Dijkstra, Henk A., (Jos) de Laat, A.T.J.

    Confirmation & evaluation Reliability & uncertainty

  4. Bifurcation Analysis of Ocean, Atmosphere, and Climate Models. Handbook of Numerical Analysis. 2009 Simonnet, Eric, Dijkstra, Henk A., Ghil, Michael

    Abrupt changes & tipping points

Ditlevsen, Peter (1)

  1. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

    Theoretical foundations Variability

Donges, Jonathan F. (1)

  1. Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2018 Steffen, Will, Rockström, Johan, Richardson, Katherine, Lenton, Timothy M., Folke, Carl, Liverman, Diana, Summerhayes, Colin P., Barnosky, Anthony D., Cornell, Sarah E., Crucifix, Michel, Donges, Jonathan F., Fetzer, Ingo, Lade, Steven J., Scheffer, Marten, Winkelmann, Ricarda, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim

    Abrupt changes & tipping points

Donner, Leo J. ORCID (1)

  1. Practice and philosophy of climate model tuning across six US modeling centers. Geoscientific Model Development. 2017 Schmidt, Gavin A., Bader, David, Donner, Leo J., Elsaesser, Gregory S., Golaz, Jean-Christophe, Hannay, Cecile, Molod, Andrea, Neale, Richard B., Saha, Suranjana

    Calibration/tuning Confirmation & evaluation Ensemble methods

Drijfhout, Sybren (1)

  1. Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2015 Drijfhout, Sybren, Bathiany, Sebastian, Beaulieu, Claudie, Brovkin, Victor, Claussen, Martin, Huntingford, Chris, Scheffer, Marten, Sgubin, Giovanni, Swingedouw, Didier

    Abrupt changes & tipping points

D'sAbramo, Flavio (1)

  1. Epistemological issues raised by research on climate change. Causality in the Sciences. 2011 Vineis, Paolo, Khan, Aneire, D'sAbramo, Flavio

DU, HAILIANG (2)

  1. MODEL ERROR AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTING: A CAUTIONARY TALE. Scientific Explanation and Methodology of Science. 2014 BRADLEY, SEAMUS, FRIGG, ROMAN, DU, HAILIANG, SMITH, LEONARD A.

    Ensemble methods Reliability & uncertainty

  2. Laplace’s Demon and the Adventures of His Apprentices. Philosophy of Science. 2014 Frigg, Roman, Bradley, Seamus, Du, Hailiang, Smith, Leonard A.

    Hawkmoth effect Reliability & uncertainty

Duan, Qingyun (1)

  1. The Art and Science of Climate Model Tuning. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2017 Hourdin, Frédéric, Mauritsen, Thorsten, Gettelman, Andrew, Golaz, Jean-Christophe, Balaji, Venkatramani, Duan, Qingyun, Folini, Doris, Ji, Duoying, Klocke, Daniel, Qian, Yun, Rauser, Florian, Rio, Catherine, Tomassini, Lorenzo, Watanabe, Masahiro, Williamson, Daniel

    Calibration/tuning Confirmation & evaluation Parameterization

Elsaesser, Gregory S. ORCID (1)

  1. Practice and philosophy of climate model tuning across six US modeling centers. Geoscientific Model Development. 2017 Schmidt, Gavin A., Bader, David, Donner, Leo J., Elsaesser, Gregory S., Golaz, Jean-Christophe, Hannay, Cecile, Molod, Andrea, Neale, Richard B., Saha, Suranjana

    Calibration/tuning Confirmation & evaluation Ensemble methods

Feichter, Johann (2)

  1. Climate Change and Policy. 2011 Unknown

    Reliability & uncertainty

  2. Modelling the Climate System: An Overview. Climate Change and Policy. 2011 Gramelsberger, Gabriele, Feichter, Johann

Fetzer, Ingo (1)

  1. Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2018 Steffen, Will, Rockström, Johan, Richardson, Katherine, Lenton, Timothy M., Folke, Carl, Liverman, Diana, Summerhayes, Colin P., Barnosky, Anthony D., Cornell, Sarah E., Crucifix, Michel, Donges, Jonathan F., Fetzer, Ingo, Lade, Steven J., Scheffer, Marten, Winkelmann, Ricarda, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim

    Abrupt changes & tipping points

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    Confirmation & evaluation

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    Data

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Folke, Carl (1)

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    Abrupt changes & tipping points

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FRIGG, ROMAN (8)

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  2. Philosophy of Climate Science Part II: Modelling Climate Change. Philosophy Compass. 2015 Frigg, Roman, Thompson, Erica, Werndl, Charlotte

  3. Philosophy of Climate Science Part I: Observing Climate Change. Philosophy Compass. 2015 Frigg, Roman, Thompson, Erica, Werndl, Charlotte

  4. An assessment of the foundational assumptions in high-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09. Synthese. 2015 Frigg, Roman, Smith, Leonard A., Stainforth, David A.

    Regional climate modelling Reliability & uncertainty

  5. MODEL ERROR AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTING: A CAUTIONARY TALE. Scientific Explanation and Methodology of Science. 2014 BRADLEY, SEAMUS, FRIGG, ROMAN, DU, HAILIANG, SMITH, LEONARD A.

    Ensemble methods Reliability & uncertainty

  6. Laplace’s Demon and the Adventures of His Apprentices. Philosophy of Science. 2014 Frigg, Roman, Bradley, Seamus, Du, Hailiang, Smith, Leonard A.

    Hawkmoth effect Reliability & uncertainty

  7. The Myopia of Imperfect Climate Models: The Case of UKCP09. Philosophy of Science. 2013 Frigg, Roman, Smith, Leonard A., Stainforth, David A.

    Hawkmoth effect Reliability & uncertainty

  8. Probabilistic Forecasting: Why Model Imperfection Is a Poison Pill. New Challenges to Philosophy of Science. 2013 Frigg, Roman, Bradley, Seamus, Machete, Reason L., Smith, Leonard A.

    Hawkmoth effect Reliability & uncertainty

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    Reliability & uncertainty Values

  2. Modeling Climate Policies: The Social Cost of Carbon and Uncertainties in Climate Predictions. Climate Modelling. 2018 Frisch, Mathias

    Reliability & uncertainty

  3. Predictivism and old evidence: a critical look at climate model tuning. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2015 Frisch, Mathias

    Calibration/tuning Confirmation & evaluation

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    Calibration/tuning Confirmation & evaluation Confirmational holism

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    Understanding & explanation Values

  6. Climate Change Justice. Philosophy & Public Affairs. 2012 FRISCH, MATHIAS

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    Abrupt changes & tipping points

Goeschl, Timo (1)

  1. Establishing causation in climate litigation: admissibility and reliability. Climatic Change. 2019 Pfrommer, Tobias, Goeschl, Timo, Proelss, Alexander, Carrier, Martin, Lenhard, Johannes, Martin, Henrike, Niemeier, Ulrike, Schmidt, Hauke

    Attribution Extreme events Reliability & uncertainty

Golaz, Jean-Christophe (2)

  1. Practice and philosophy of climate model tuning across six US modeling centers. Geoscientific Model Development. 2017 Schmidt, Gavin A., Bader, David, Donner, Leo J., Elsaesser, Gregory S., Golaz, Jean-Christophe, Hannay, Cecile, Molod, Andrea, Neale, Richard B., Saha, Suranjana

    Calibration/tuning Confirmation & evaluation Ensemble methods

  2. The Art and Science of Climate Model Tuning. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2017 Hourdin, Frédéric, Mauritsen, Thorsten, Gettelman, Andrew, Golaz, Jean-Christophe, Balaji, Venkatramani, Duan, Qingyun, Folini, Doris, Ji, Duoying, Klocke, Daniel, Qian, Yun, Rauser, Florian, Rio, Catherine, Tomassini, Lorenzo, Watanabe, Masahiro, Williamson, Daniel

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Goodwin, William M. (3)

  1. Missing the Forest for the Fish: How Much Does the ‘Hawkmoth Effect’ Threaten the Viability of Climate Projections?. Philosophy of Science. 2016 Goodwin, William M., Winsberg, Eric

    Hawkmoth effect Reliability & uncertainty

  2. The adventures of climate science in the sweet land of idle arguments. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2016 Winsberg, Eric, Goodwin, William Mark

    Confirmation & evaluation Hawkmoth effect

  3. Global Climate Modeling as Applied Science. Journal for General Philosophy of Science. 2015 Goodwin, William M.

    Confirmation & evaluation

Gramelsberger, Gabriele (11)

  1. Philosophical Perspectives on Earth System Modeling: Truth, Adequacy, and Understanding. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 2020 Gramelsberger, G., Lenhard, J., Parker, W.S.

    Adequacy-for-purpose Confirmation & evaluation Understanding & explanation

  2. Climate and Simulation. Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Climate Science. 2018 Gramelsberger, Gabriele

    Confirmation & evaluation

  3. Mathematical Images of Planet Earth. Imagining Earth. 2017 Gramelsberger, Gabriele

  4. Cultures of Prediction in Atmospheric and Climate Science. 2017 Unknown

  5. The Inner World of Models and Its Epistemic Diversity: Infectious Disease and Climate Modelling. Automation, Collaboration, & E-Services. 2012 Gramelsberger, Gabriele, Mansnerus, Erika

  6. Climate Change and Policy. 2011 Unknown

    Reliability & uncertainty

  7. Modelling the Climate System: An Overview. Climate Change and Policy. 2011 Gramelsberger, Gabriele, Feichter, Johann

  8. Conceiving processes in atmospheric models—General equations, subscale parameterizations, and ‘superparameterizations’. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2010 Gramelsberger, Gabriele

    Confirmation & evaluation Parameterization

  9. Generation of Evidence in Simulation Runs: Interlinking With Models for Predicting Weather and Climate Change. Simulation & Gaming. 2010 Gramelsberger, Gabriele

    Confirmation & evaluation

  10. Conceiving Meteorology as the exact science of the atmosphere: Vilhelm Bjerknes's paper of 1904 as a milestone. Meteorologische Zeitschrift. 2009 Gramelsberger, Gabriele

    Reliability & uncertainty

  11. Simulation - Analyse der organisationellen Etablierungsbestrebungen der epistemischen Kultur des Simulierens am Beispiel der Klimamodellierung. Organisationen der Forschung. 2009 Gramelsberger, Gabriele

Guillemot, Hélène (3)

  1. How to develop climate models? The “gamble” of improving climate model parameterizations. Cultures of Prediction in Atmospheric and Climate Science. 2017 Guillemot, Hélène

    Confirmation & evaluation Parameterization

  2. The necessary and inaccessible 1.5°C objective. Globalising the Climate. 2017 Guillemot, Hélène

  3. Connections between simulations and observation in climate computer modeling. Scientist’s practices and “bottom-up epistemology” lessons. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2010 Guillemot, Hélène

    Confirmation & evaluation

Hadorn, Gertrude Hirsch (1)

  1. Perceiving, explaining, and observing climatic changes: An historical case study of the "year without a summer" 1816. Meteorologische Zeitschrift. 2011 Bodenmann, Tom, Brönnimann, Stefan, Hadorn, Gertrude Hirsch, Krüger, Tobias, Weissert, Helmut

    Understanding & explanation

Hannay, Cecile (1)

  1. Practice and philosophy of climate model tuning across six US modeling centers. Geoscientific Model Development. 2017 Schmidt, Gavin A., Bader, David, Donner, Leo J., Elsaesser, Gregory S., Golaz, Jean-Christophe, Hannay, Cecile, Molod, Andrea, Neale, Richard B., Saha, Suranjana

    Calibration/tuning Confirmation & evaluation Ensemble methods

Hansson, Sven Ove (1)

  1. Argument-based decision support for risk analysis. Journal of Risk Research. 2017 Hansson, Sven Ove, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude

Haywood, Alan M. (1)

  1. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

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  1. Nonlinearities, Feedbacks and Critical Thresholds within the Earth's Climate System. Climatic Change. 2004 Rial, José A., Pielke Sr., Roger A., Beniston, Martin, Claussen, Martin, Canadell, Josep, Cox, Peter, Held, Hermann, de Noblet-Ducoudré, Nathalie, Prinn, Ronald, Reynolds, James F., Salas, José D.

    Abrupt changes & tipping points

Helgeson, Casey (7)

  1. Why Simpler Computer Simulation Models Can Be Epistemically Better for Informing Decisions. Philosophy of Science. 2021 Helgeson, Casey, Srikrishnan, Vivek, Keller, Klaus, Tuana, Nancy

    Decision-making

  2. Visualizing Natural Environments from Data in Virtual Reality: Combining Realism and Uncertainty. 2019 IEEE Conference on Virtual Reality and 3D User Interfaces (VR). 2019 Huang, Jiawei, Lucash, Melissa S., Simpson, Mark B., Helgeson, Casey, Klippel, Alexander

  3. Learning About Forest Futures Under Climate Change Through Transdisciplinary Collaboration Across Traditional and Western Knowledge Systems. Collaboration Across Boundaries for Social-Ecological Systems Science. 2019 Smithwick, Erica A. H., Caldwell, Christopher, Klippel, Alexander, Scheller, Robert M., Tuana, Nancy, Bird, Rebecca Bliege, Keller, Klaus, Vickers, Dennis, Lucash, Melissa, Nicholas, Robert E., Olson, Stacey, Ruckert, Kelsey L., Oyler, Jared, Helgeson, Casey, Huang, Jiawei

  4. Structuring Decisions Under Deep Uncertainty. Topoi. 2018 Helgeson, Casey

    Decision-making

  5. Combining probability with qualitative degree-of-certainty metrics in assessment. Climatic Change. 2018 Helgeson, Casey, Bradley, Richard, Hill, Brian

    Communication of uncertainties Reliability & uncertainty

  6. Climate Change Assessments: Confidence, Probability, and Decision. Philosophy of Science. 2017 Bradley, Richard, Helgeson, Casey, Hill, Brian

    Communication of uncertainties Decision-making Reliability & uncertainty

  7. Expert Judgment for Climate Change Adaptation. Philosophy of Science. 2016 Thompson, Erica, Frigg, Roman, Helgeson, Casey

    Expert judgement Reliability & uncertainty

Heymann, Matthias (1)

  1. Cultures of Prediction in Atmospheric and Climate Science. 2017 Unknown

Hill, Brian (2)

  1. Combining probability with qualitative degree-of-certainty metrics in assessment. Climatic Change. 2018 Helgeson, Casey, Bradley, Richard, Hill, Brian

    Communication of uncertainties Reliability & uncertainty

  2. Climate Change Assessments: Confidence, Probability, and Decision. Philosophy of Science. 2017 Bradley, Richard, Helgeson, Casey, Hill, Brian

    Communication of uncertainties Decision-making Reliability & uncertainty

Hillerbrand, Rafaela (1)

  1. Climate Simulations: Uncertain Projections for an Uncertain World. Journal for General Philosophy of Science. 2014 Hillerbrand, Rafaela

    Reliability & uncertainty

Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude (12)

  1. Understanding and assessing uncertainty of observational climate datasets for model evaluation using ensembles. WIREs Climate Change. 2020 Zumwald, Marius, Knüsel, Benedikt, Baumberger, Christoph, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Bresch, David N., Knutti, Reto

    Ensemble methods Reliability & uncertainty

  2. Applying big data beyond small problems in climate research. Nature Climate Change. 2019 Knüsel, Benedikt, Zumwald, Marius, Baumberger, Christoph, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Fischer, Erich M., Bresch, David N., Knutti, Reto

    Data

  3. Uncertainty Quantification Using Multiple Models—Prospects and Challenges. Simulation Foundations, Methods and Applications. 2019 Knutti, Reto, Baumberger, Christoph, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude

    Ensemble methods Reliability & uncertainty

  4. What Types of Values Enter Simulation Validation and What Are Their Roles?. Simulation Foundations, Methods and Applications. 2019 Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Baumberger, Christoph

    Confirmation & evaluation

  5. On Rationales for Cognitive Values in the Assessment of Scientific Representations. Journal for General Philosophy of Science. 2018 Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude

    Confirmation & evaluation

  6. Conceptualizing the transfer of knowledge across cases in transdisciplinary research. Sustainability Science. 2017 Adler, Carolina, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Breu, Thomas, Wiesmann, Urs, Pohl, Christian

  7. Argument-based decision support for risk analysis. Journal of Risk Research. 2017 Hansson, Sven Ove, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude

  8. Building confidence in climate model projections: an analysis of inferences from fit. WIREs Climate Change. 2017 Baumberger, Christoph, Knutti, Reto, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude

    Confirmation & evaluation Robustness

  9. Temporal Strategies for Decision-making. Logic, Argumentation & Reasoning. 2016 Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude

  10. Decision strategies for policy decisions under uncertainties: The case of mitigation measures addressing methane emissions from ruminants. Environmental Science & Policy. 2015 Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Brun, Georg, Soliva, Carla Riccarda, Stenke, Andrea, Peter, Thomas

    Decision-making

  11. The IPCC and treatment of uncertainties: topics and sources of dissensus. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change. 2014 Adler, Carolina E., Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude

    Climate change communication Communication of uncertainties

  12. How understanding causal relations counts in criticising arguments against anthropogenic global climate change. Meteorologische Zeitschrift. 2014 Bodenmann, Tom, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude

    Understanding & explanation

Hourdin, Frédéric (1)

  1. The Art and Science of Climate Model Tuning. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2017 Hourdin, Frédéric, Mauritsen, Thorsten, Gettelman, Andrew, Golaz, Jean-Christophe, Balaji, Venkatramani, Duan, Qingyun, Folini, Doris, Ji, Duoying, Klocke, Daniel, Qian, Yun, Rauser, Florian, Rio, Catherine, Tomassini, Lorenzo, Watanabe, Masahiro, Williamson, Daniel

    Calibration/tuning Confirmation & evaluation Parameterization

Huang, Jiawei (2)

  1. Visualizing Natural Environments from Data in Virtual Reality: Combining Realism and Uncertainty. 2019 IEEE Conference on Virtual Reality and 3D User Interfaces (VR). 2019 Huang, Jiawei, Lucash, Melissa S., Simpson, Mark B., Helgeson, Casey, Klippel, Alexander

  2. Learning About Forest Futures Under Climate Change Through Transdisciplinary Collaboration Across Traditional and Western Knowledge Systems. Collaboration Across Boundaries for Social-Ecological Systems Science. 2019 Smithwick, Erica A. H., Caldwell, Christopher, Klippel, Alexander, Scheller, Robert M., Tuana, Nancy, Bird, Rebecca Bliege, Keller, Klaus, Vickers, Dennis, Lucash, Melissa, Nicholas, Robert E., Olson, Stacey, Ruckert, Kelsey L., Oyler, Jared, Helgeson, Casey, Huang, Jiawei

Huber, Matthew (1)

  1. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

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  1. Accountability and values in radically collaborative research. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2014 Winsberg, Eric, Huebner, Bryce, Kukla, Rebecca

    Values

Huntingford, Chris (1)

  1. Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2015 Drijfhout, Sybren, Bathiany, Sebastian, Beaulieu, Claudie, Brovkin, Victor, Claussen, Martin, Huntingford, Chris, Scheffer, Marten, Sgubin, Giovanni, Swingedouw, Didier

    Abrupt changes & tipping points

Intemann, Kristen (4)

  1. The Risk of Using Inductive Risk to Challenge the Value-Free Ideal. Philosophy of Science. 2016 de Melo-Martín, Inmaculada, Intemann, Kristen

    Inductive risk Values

  2. Distinguishing between legitimate and illegitimate values in climate modeling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2015 Intemann, Kristen

    Values

  3. Who's Afraid of Dissent? Addressing Concerns about Undermining Scientific Consensus in Public Policy Developments. Perspectives on Science. 2014 de Melo-Martín, Inmaculada, Intemann, Kristen

  4. Are there limits to scientists’ obligations to seek and engage dissenters?. Synthese. 2014 Intemann, Kristen, de Melo-Martín, Inmaculada

Isaac, Alistair M.C. (1)

  1. Model uncertainty and policy choice: A plea for integrated subjectivism. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2014 Isaac, Alistair M.C.

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Jakob, Christian (1)

  1. Going back to basics. Nature Climate Change. 2014 Jakob, Christian

    Confirmation & evaluation Hawkmoth effect Theoretical foundations

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  1. Confident, likely, or both? The implementation of the uncertainty language framework in IPCC special reports. Climatic Change. 2020 Janzwood, Scott

    Communication of uncertainties Expert judgement Reliability & uncertainty

Jebeile, Julie ORCID (6)

  1. Value management and model pluralism in climate science. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2021 Jebeile, Julie, Crucifix, Michel

    Value-free ideal Values

  2. Model spread and progress in climate modelling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2021 Jebeile, Julie, Barberousse, Anouk

    Communication of uncertainties Reliability & uncertainty

  3. Numerical instability and dynamical systems. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2021 Ardourel, Vincent, Jebeile, Julie

    Reliability & uncertainty

  4. Multi-model ensembles in climate science: Mathematical structures and expert judgements. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2020 Jebeile, Julie, Crucifix, Michel

    Ensemble methods

  5. Understanding climate change with statistical downscaling and machine learning. Synthese. 2020 Jebeile, Julie, Lam, Vincent, Räz, Tim

    Regional climate modelling Understanding & explanation

  6. Values and Objectivity in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Social Epistemology. 2020 Jebeile, Julie

    Value-free ideal Values

Ji, Duoying (1)

  1. The Art and Science of Climate Model Tuning. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2017 Hourdin, Frédéric, Mauritsen, Thorsten, Gettelman, Andrew, Golaz, Jean-Christophe, Balaji, Venkatramani, Duan, Qingyun, Folini, Doris, Ji, Duoying, Klocke, Daniel, Qian, Yun, Rauser, Florian, Rio, Catherine, Tomassini, Lorenzo, Watanabe, Masahiro, Williamson, Daniel

    Calibration/tuning Confirmation & evaluation Parameterization

John, Stephen (1)

  1. The example of the IPCC does not vindicate the Value Free Ideal: a reply to Gregor Betz. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2014 John, Stephen

    Communication of uncertainties Reliability & uncertainty Values

Judd, Kenneth L. (1)

  1. Stochastic integrated assessment of climate tipping points indicates the need for strict climate policy. Nature Climate Change. 2015 Lontzek, Thomas S., Cai, Yongyang, Judd, Kenneth L., Lenton, Timothy M.

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Karoly, David J. (1)

  1. Is the choice of statistical paradigm critical in extreme event attribution studies?. Climatic Change. 2017 Stott, Peter A., Karoly, David J., Zwiers, Francis W.

    Attribution Extreme events Reliability & uncertainty

Katzav, Joel (9)

  1. Issues in the theoretical foundations of climate science. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2018 Katzav, Joel, Parker, Wendy S.

    Climate & climate change Theoretical foundations Variability

  2. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

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  3. The future of climate modeling. Climatic Change. 2015 Katzav, Joel, Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation

  4. Introduction to Assessing climate models: knowledge, values and policy. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2015 Katzav, Joel, Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation Values

  5. The epistemology of climate models and some of its implications for climate science and the philosophy of science. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2014 Katzav, Joel

    Confirmation & evaluation Probability & possibility Reliability & uncertainty

  6. Severe testing of climate change hypotheses. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2013 Katzav, Joel

    Confirmation & evaluation

  7. Hybrid Models, Climate Models, and Inference to the Best Explanation. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. 2013 Katzav, Joel

    Confirmation & evaluation Understanding & explanation

  8. Assessing climate model projections: State of the art and philosophical reflections. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2012 Katzav, Joel, Dijkstra, Henk A., (Jos) de Laat, A.T.J.

    Confirmation & evaluation Reliability & uncertainty

  9. Should we assess climate model predictions in light of severe tests?. Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union. 2011 Katzav, Joel

    Confirmation & evaluation

Keller, Klaus (3)

  1. Why Simpler Computer Simulation Models Can Be Epistemically Better for Informing Decisions. Philosophy of Science. 2021 Helgeson, Casey, Srikrishnan, Vivek, Keller, Klaus, Tuana, Nancy

    Decision-making

  2. Learning About Forest Futures Under Climate Change Through Transdisciplinary Collaboration Across Traditional and Western Knowledge Systems. Collaboration Across Boundaries for Social-Ecological Systems Science. 2019 Smithwick, Erica A. H., Caldwell, Christopher, Klippel, Alexander, Scheller, Robert M., Tuana, Nancy, Bird, Rebecca Bliege, Keller, Klaus, Vickers, Dennis, Lucash, Melissa, Nicholas, Robert E., Olson, Stacey, Ruckert, Kelsey L., Oyler, Jared, Helgeson, Casey, Huang, Jiawei

  3. Epistemic and ethical trade-offs in decision analytical modelling. Climatic Change. 2017 Vezér, Martin, Bakker, Alexander, Keller, Klaus, Tuana, Nancy

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Khan, Aneire (1)

  1. Epistemological issues raised by research on climate change. Causality in the Sciences. 2011 Vineis, Paolo, Khan, Aneire, D'sAbramo, Flavio

Klippel, Alexander (2)

  1. Visualizing Natural Environments from Data in Virtual Reality: Combining Realism and Uncertainty. 2019 IEEE Conference on Virtual Reality and 3D User Interfaces (VR). 2019 Huang, Jiawei, Lucash, Melissa S., Simpson, Mark B., Helgeson, Casey, Klippel, Alexander

  2. Learning About Forest Futures Under Climate Change Through Transdisciplinary Collaboration Across Traditional and Western Knowledge Systems. Collaboration Across Boundaries for Social-Ecological Systems Science. 2019 Smithwick, Erica A. H., Caldwell, Christopher, Klippel, Alexander, Scheller, Robert M., Tuana, Nancy, Bird, Rebecca Bliege, Keller, Klaus, Vickers, Dennis, Lucash, Melissa, Nicholas, Robert E., Olson, Stacey, Ruckert, Kelsey L., Oyler, Jared, Helgeson, Casey, Huang, Jiawei

Klocke, Daniel (1)

  1. The Art and Science of Climate Model Tuning. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2017 Hourdin, Frédéric, Mauritsen, Thorsten, Gettelman, Andrew, Golaz, Jean-Christophe, Balaji, Venkatramani, Duan, Qingyun, Folini, Doris, Ji, Duoying, Klocke, Daniel, Qian, Yun, Rauser, Florian, Rio, Catherine, Tomassini, Lorenzo, Watanabe, Masahiro, Williamson, Daniel

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Knutti, Reto ORCID (10)

  1. Argument-based assessment of predictive uncertainty of data-driven environmental models. Environmental Modelling & Software. 2020 Knüsel, Benedikt, Baumberger, Christoph, Zumwald, Marius, Bresch, David N., Knutti, Reto

    Data Reliability & uncertainty

  2. Understanding and assessing uncertainty of observational climate datasets for model evaluation using ensembles. WIREs Climate Change. 2020 Zumwald, Marius, Knüsel, Benedikt, Baumberger, Christoph, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Bresch, David N., Knutti, Reto

    Ensemble methods Reliability & uncertainty

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    Data

  4. Uncertainty Quantification Using Multiple Models—Prospects and Challenges. Simulation Foundations, Methods and Applications. 2019 Knutti, Reto, Baumberger, Christoph, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude

    Ensemble methods Reliability & uncertainty

  5. Climate Model Confirmation: From Philosophy to Predicting Climate in the Real World. Climate Modelling. 2018 Knutti, Reto

    Confirmation & evaluation Predictions and projections

  6. Building confidence in climate model projections: an analysis of inferences from fit. WIREs Climate Change. 2017 Baumberger, Christoph, Knutti, Reto, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude

    Confirmation & evaluation Robustness

  7. The unseen uncertainties in climate change: reviewing comprehension of an IPCC scenario graph. Climatic Change. 2015 McMahon, Rosemarie, Stauffacher, Michael, Knutti, Reto

    Communication of uncertainties Reliability & uncertainty Understanding & explanation

  8. Robustness and uncertainties in the new CMIP5 climate model projections. Nature Climate Change. 2012 Knutti, Reto, Sedláček, Jan

    Ensemble methods Reliability & uncertainty Robustness

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    Ensemble methods Predictions and projections Reliability & uncertainty Robustness

  10. Should we believe model predictions of future climate change?. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2008 Knutti, Reto

    Confirmation & evaluation Reliability & uncertainty

Knüsel, Benedikt (4)

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    Data Reliability & uncertainty

  2. Understanding climate phenomena with data-driven models. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2020 Knüsel, Benedikt, Baumberger, Christoph

    Understanding & explanation

  3. Understanding and assessing uncertainty of observational climate datasets for model evaluation using ensembles. WIREs Climate Change. 2020 Zumwald, Marius, Knüsel, Benedikt, Baumberger, Christoph, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Bresch, David N., Knutti, Reto

    Ensemble methods Reliability & uncertainty

  4. Applying big data beyond small problems in climate research. Nature Climate Change. 2019 Knüsel, Benedikt, Zumwald, Marius, Baumberger, Christoph, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Fischer, Erich M., Bresch, David N., Knutti, Reto

    Data

Kourentzes, Nikolaos (1)

  1. Validation and forecasting accuracy in models of climate change. International Journal of Forecasting. 2011 Fildes, Robert, Kourentzes, Nikolaos

    Confirmation & evaluation

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  1. Perceiving, explaining, and observing climatic changes: An historical case study of the "year without a summer" 1816. Meteorologische Zeitschrift. 2011 Bodenmann, Tom, Brönnimann, Stefan, Hadorn, Gertrude Hirsch, Krüger, Tobias, Weissert, Helmut

    Understanding & explanation

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  1. Accountability and values in radically collaborative research. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2014 Winsberg, Eric, Huebner, Bryce, Kukla, Rebecca

    Values

Köhler, Peter (1)

  1. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

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(Jos) de Laat, A.T.J. (1)

  1. Assessing climate model projections: State of the art and philosophical reflections. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2012 Katzav, Joel, Dijkstra, Henk A., (Jos) de Laat, A.T.J.

    Confirmation & evaluation Reliability & uncertainty

Lade, Steven J. (1)

  1. Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2018 Steffen, Will, Rockström, Johan, Richardson, Katherine, Lenton, Timothy M., Folke, Carl, Liverman, Diana, Summerhayes, Colin P., Barnosky, Anthony D., Cornell, Sarah E., Crucifix, Michel, Donges, Jonathan F., Fetzer, Ingo, Lade, Steven J., Scheffer, Marten, Winkelmann, Ricarda, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim

    Abrupt changes & tipping points

Lam, Vincent (1)

  1. Understanding climate change with statistical downscaling and machine learning. Synthese. 2020 Jebeile, Julie, Lam, Vincent, Räz, Tim

    Regional climate modelling Understanding & explanation

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  1. Gaia 2.0. Science. 2018 Lenton, Timothy M., Latour, Bruno

    Abrupt changes & tipping points

Le Treut, Hervé (1)

  1. The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project: History, uses, and structural effects on climate research. WIREs Climate Change. 2020 Touzé‐Peiffer, Ludovic, Barberousse, Anouk, Le Treut, Hervé

    Ensemble methods

Lenhard, Johannes (5)

  1. Philosophical Perspectives on Earth System Modeling: Truth, Adequacy, and Understanding. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 2020 Gramelsberger, G., Lenhard, J., Parker, W.S.

    Adequacy-for-purpose Confirmation & evaluation Understanding & explanation

  2. Climate Models: How to Assess Their Reliability. International Studies in the Philosophy of Science. 2019 Carrier, Martin, Lenhard, Johannes

    Confirmation & evaluation Confirmational holism Robustness

  3. Establishing causation in climate litigation: admissibility and reliability. Climatic Change. 2019 Pfrommer, Tobias, Goeschl, Timo, Proelss, Alexander, Carrier, Martin, Lenhard, Johannes, Martin, Henrike, Niemeier, Ulrike, Schmidt, Hauke

    Attribution Extreme events Reliability & uncertainty

  4. Holism, or the Erosion of Modularity: A Methodological Challenge for Validation. Philosophy of Science. 2018 Lenhard, Johannes

    Confirmation & evaluation Confirmational holism

  5. Holism, entrenchment, and the future of climate model pluralism. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2010 Lenhard, Johannes, Winsberg, Eric

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Lenton, Tim (0)

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    1. Climate tipping points — too risky to bet against. Nature. 2019 Lenton, Timothy M., Rockström, Johan, Gaffney, Owen, Rahmstorf, Stefan, Richardson, Katherine, Steffen, Will, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim

      Abrupt changes & tipping points

    2. Gaia 2.0. Science. 2018 Lenton, Timothy M., Latour, Bruno

      Abrupt changes & tipping points

    3. Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2018 Steffen, Will, Rockström, Johan, Richardson, Katherine, Lenton, Timothy M., Folke, Carl, Liverman, Diana, Summerhayes, Colin P., Barnosky, Anthony D., Cornell, Sarah E., Crucifix, Michel, Donges, Jonathan F., Fetzer, Ingo, Lade, Steven J., Scheffer, Marten, Winkelmann, Ricarda, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim

      Abrupt changes & tipping points

    4. Abrupt Climate Change in an Oscillating World. Scientific Reports. 2018 Bathiany, S., Scheffer, M., van Nes, E. H., Williamson, M. S., Lenton, T. M.

      Abrupt changes & tipping points

    5. Risk of multiple interacting tipping points should encourage rapid CO2 emission reduction. Nature Climate Change. 2016 Cai, Yongyang, Lenton, Timothy M., Lontzek, Thomas S.

      Abrupt changes & tipping points

    6. Stochastic integrated assessment of climate tipping points indicates the need for strict climate policy. Nature Climate Change. 2015 Lontzek, Thomas S., Cai, Yongyang, Judd, Kenneth L., Lenton, Timothy M.

      Abrupt changes & tipping points

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    1. Uncertainties, Plurality, and Robustness in Climate Research and Modeling: On the Reliability of Climate Prognoses. Journal for General Philosophy of Science. 2015 Leuschner, Anna

      Ensemble methods Reliability & uncertainty Robustness

    Liverman, Diana (1)

    1. Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2018 Steffen, Will, Rockström, Johan, Richardson, Katherine, Lenton, Timothy M., Folke, Carl, Liverman, Diana, Summerhayes, Colin P., Barnosky, Anthony D., Cornell, Sarah E., Crucifix, Michel, Donges, Jonathan F., Fetzer, Ingo, Lade, Steven J., Scheffer, Marten, Winkelmann, Ricarda, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim

      Abrupt changes & tipping points

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    1. Severe weather event attribution: Why values won't go away. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2020 Winsberg, Eric, Oreskes, Naomi, Lloyd, Elisabeth

      Attribution Extreme events Values

    Lloyd, Elisabeth A. (7)

    1. Environmental catastrophes, climate change, and attribution. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences. 2020 Lloyd, Elisabeth A., Shepherd, Theodore G.

      Attribution Extreme events Storylines

    2. Climate Change Attribution: When Is It Appropriate to Accept New Methods?. Earth's Future. 2018 Lloyd, Elisabeth A., Oreskes, Naomi

      Attribution Extreme events Storylines

    3. Model robustness as a confirmatory virtue: The case of climate science. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2015 Lloyd, Elisabeth A.

      Confirmation & evaluation Robustness Values

    4. Objectivity and a comparison of methodological scenario approaches for climate change research. Synthese. 2013 Lloyd, Elisabeth A., Schweizer, Vanessa J.

      Predictions and projections

    5. The role of ‘complex’ empiricism in the debates about satellite data and climate models. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2012 Lloyd, Elisabeth A.

      Confirmation & evaluation Data Robustness

    6. Confirmation and Robustness of Climate Models. Philosophy of Science. 2010 Lloyd, Elisabeth A.

      Confirmation & evaluation Robustness

    7. I—Elisabeth A. Lloyd: Varieties of Support and Confirmation of Climate Models. Aristotelian Society Supplementary Volume. 2009 Lloyd, Elisabeth A.

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    1. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

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    1. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

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    1. Risk of multiple interacting tipping points should encourage rapid CO2 emission reduction. Nature Climate Change. 2016 Cai, Yongyang, Lenton, Timothy M., Lontzek, Thomas S.

      Abrupt changes & tipping points

    2. Stochastic integrated assessment of climate tipping points indicates the need for strict climate policy. Nature Climate Change. 2015 Lontzek, Thomas S., Cai, Yongyang, Judd, Kenneth L., Lenton, Timothy M.

      Abrupt changes & tipping points

    Lucarini, Valerio (1)

    1. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

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    Lucash, Melissa (1)

    1. Learning About Forest Futures Under Climate Change Through Transdisciplinary Collaboration Across Traditional and Western Knowledge Systems. Collaboration Across Boundaries for Social-Ecological Systems Science. 2019 Smithwick, Erica A. H., Caldwell, Christopher, Klippel, Alexander, Scheller, Robert M., Tuana, Nancy, Bird, Rebecca Bliege, Keller, Klaus, Vickers, Dennis, Lucash, Melissa, Nicholas, Robert E., Olson, Stacey, Ruckert, Kelsey L., Oyler, Jared, Helgeson, Casey, Huang, Jiawei

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    1. Visualizing Natural Environments from Data in Virtual Reality: Combining Realism and Uncertainty. 2019 IEEE Conference on Virtual Reality and 3D User Interfaces (VR). 2019 Huang, Jiawei, Lucash, Melissa S., Simpson, Mark B., Helgeson, Casey, Klippel, Alexander

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    1. Incorporating User Values into Climate Services. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2019 Parker, Wendy S., Lusk, Greg

      Adaptation Reliability & uncertainty Values

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    1. Probabilistic Forecasting: Why Model Imperfection Is a Poison Pill. New Challenges to Philosophy of Science. 2013 Frigg, Roman, Bradley, Seamus, Machete, Reason L., Smith, Leonard A.

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    1. Cultures of Prediction in Atmospheric and Climate Science. 2017 Unknown

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    1. The Inner World of Models and Its Epistemic Diversity: Infectious Disease and Climate Modelling. Automation, Collaboration, & E-Services. 2012 Gramelsberger, Gabriele, Mansnerus, Erika

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    1. Establishing causation in climate litigation: admissibility and reliability. Climatic Change. 2019 Pfrommer, Tobias, Goeschl, Timo, Proelss, Alexander, Carrier, Martin, Lenhard, Johannes, Martin, Henrike, Niemeier, Ulrike, Schmidt, Hauke

      Attribution Extreme events Reliability & uncertainty

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      Theoretical foundations Variability

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    1. The Art and Science of Climate Model Tuning. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2017 Hourdin, Frédéric, Mauritsen, Thorsten, Gettelman, Andrew, Golaz, Jean-Christophe, Balaji, Venkatramani, Duan, Qingyun, Folini, Doris, Ji, Duoying, Klocke, Daniel, Qian, Yun, Rauser, Florian, Rio, Catherine, Tomassini, Lorenzo, Watanabe, Masahiro, Williamson, Daniel

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    1. Structural Chaos. Philosophy of Science. 2015 Mayo-Wilson, Conor

      Hawkmoth effect

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    1. Climate Science Controversies and the Demand for Access to Empirical Data. Philosophy of Science. 2012 McAllister, James W.

      Data Values

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    1. The unseen uncertainties in climate change: reviewing comprehension of an IPCC scenario graph. Climatic Change. 2015 McMahon, Rosemarie, Stauffacher, Michael, Knutti, Reto

      Communication of uncertainties Reliability & uncertainty Understanding & explanation

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      Communication of uncertainties Decision-making Reliability & uncertainty

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      Inductive risk Values

    2. Who's Afraid of Dissent? Addressing Concerns about Undermining Scientific Consensus in Public Policy Developments. Perspectives on Science. 2014 de Melo-Martín, Inmaculada, Intemann, Kristen

    3. Are there limits to scientists’ obligations to seek and engage dissenters?. Synthese. 2014 Intemann, Kristen, de Melo-Martín, Inmaculada

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      Hawkmoth effect Reliability & uncertainty

    1. An antidote for hawkmoths: on the prevalence of structural chaos in non-linear modeling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2019 Nabergall, Lukas, Navas, Alejandro, Winsberg, Eric

      Hawkmoth effect Reliability & uncertainty

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    1. Learning About Forest Futures Under Climate Change Through Transdisciplinary Collaboration Across Traditional and Western Knowledge Systems. Collaboration Across Boundaries for Social-Ecological Systems Science. 2019 Smithwick, Erica A. H., Caldwell, Christopher, Klippel, Alexander, Scheller, Robert M., Tuana, Nancy, Bird, Rebecca Bliege, Keller, Klaus, Vickers, Dennis, Lucash, Melissa, Nicholas, Robert E., Olson, Stacey, Ruckert, Kelsey L., Oyler, Jared, Helgeson, Casey, Huang, Jiawei

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    1. Establishing causation in climate litigation: admissibility and reliability. Climatic Change. 2019 Pfrommer, Tobias, Goeschl, Timo, Proelss, Alexander, Carrier, Martin, Lenhard, Johannes, Martin, Henrike, Niemeier, Ulrike, Schmidt, Hauke

      Attribution Extreme events Reliability & uncertainty

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      Abrupt changes & tipping points

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    1. Learning About Forest Futures Under Climate Change Through Transdisciplinary Collaboration Across Traditional and Western Knowledge Systems. Collaboration Across Boundaries for Social-Ecological Systems Science. 2019 Smithwick, Erica A. H., Caldwell, Christopher, Klippel, Alexander, Scheller, Robert M., Tuana, Nancy, Bird, Rebecca Bliege, Keller, Klaus, Vickers, Dennis, Lucash, Melissa, Nicholas, Robert E., Olson, Stacey, Ruckert, Kelsey L., Oyler, Jared, Helgeson, Casey, Huang, Jiawei

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    1. Severe weather event attribution: Why values won't go away. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2020 Winsberg, Eric, Oreskes, Naomi, Lloyd, Elisabeth

      Attribution Extreme events Values

    2. Climate Change Attribution: When Is It Appropriate to Accept New Methods?. Earth's Future. 2018 Lloyd, Elisabeth A., Oreskes, Naomi

      Attribution Extreme events Storylines

    3. Adaptation to Global Warming: Do Climate Models Tell Us What We Need to Know?. Philosophy of Science. 2010 Oreskes, Naomi, Stainforth, David A., Smith, Leonard A.

      Adaptation Confirmation & evaluation Regional climate modelling Reliability & uncertainty

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      Expert judgement Reliability & uncertainty

    5. Verification, Validation, and Confirmation of Numerical Models in the Earth Sciences. Science. 1994 Oreskes, N., Shrader-Frechette, K., Belitz, K.

      Confirmation & evaluation Confirmational holism

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    1. Learning About Forest Futures Under Climate Change Through Transdisciplinary Collaboration Across Traditional and Western Knowledge Systems. Collaboration Across Boundaries for Social-Ecological Systems Science. 2019 Smithwick, Erica A. H., Caldwell, Christopher, Klippel, Alexander, Scheller, Robert M., Tuana, Nancy, Bird, Rebecca Bliege, Keller, Klaus, Vickers, Dennis, Lucash, Melissa, Nicholas, Robert E., Olson, Stacey, Ruckert, Kelsey L., Oyler, Jared, Helgeson, Casey, Huang, Jiawei

    Parker, Wendy (0)

      Parker, W.S. (27)

      1. Model Evaluation: An Adequacy-for-Purpose View. Philosophy of Science. 2020 Parker, Wendy S.

        Adequacy-for-purpose Confirmation & evaluation

      2. Evidence and Knowledge from Computer Simulation. Erkenntnis. 2020 Parker, Wendy S.

        Confirmation & evaluation Reliability & uncertainty

      3. Philosophical Perspectives on Earth System Modeling: Truth, Adequacy, and Understanding. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 2020 Gramelsberger, G., Lenhard, J., Parker, W.S.

        Adequacy-for-purpose Confirmation & evaluation Understanding & explanation

      4. Evaluating Data Journeys: Climategate, Synthetic Data and the Benchmarking of Methods for Climate Data Processing. Data Journeys in the Sciences. 2020 Parker, Wendy S.

        Data Datasets Reanalysis

      5. Incorporating User Values into Climate Services. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2019 Parker, Wendy S., Lusk, Greg

        Adaptation Reliability & uncertainty Values

      6. Issues in the theoretical foundations of climate science. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2018 Katzav, Joel, Parker, Wendy S.

        Climate & climate change Theoretical foundations Variability

      7. The Significance of Robust Climate Projections. Climate Modelling. 2018 Parker, Wendy S.

        Confirmation & evaluation Ensemble methods Reliability & uncertainty Robustness

      8. Reply to “Comments on ‘Reanalyses and Observations: What’s the Difference?’”. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2017 Parker, Wendy S.

        Data Reanalysis Reliability & uncertainty

      9. Values and evidence: how models make a difference. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2017 Parker, Wendy S., Winsberg, Eric

        Probability & possibility Reliability & uncertainty Values

      10. Computer Simulation, Measurement, and Data Assimilation. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. 2017 Parker, Wendy S.

        Data

      11. Reanalyses and Observations: What’s the Difference?. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2016 Parker, Wendy S.

        Data Reanalysis Reliability & uncertainty

      12. False precision, surprise and improved uncertainty assessment. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2015 Parker, Wendy S., Risbey, James S.

        Communication of uncertainties Reliability & uncertainty

      13. The future of climate modeling. Climatic Change. 2015 Katzav, Joel, Parker, Wendy S.

        Confirmation & evaluation

      14. Introduction to Assessing climate models: knowledge, values and policy. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2015 Katzav, Joel, Parker, Wendy S.

        Confirmation & evaluation Values

      15. Simulation and Understanding in the Study of Weather and Climate. Perspectives on Science. 2014 Parker, Wendy S.

        Confirmation & evaluation Understanding & explanation

      16. Getting (even more) serious about similarity. Biology & Philosophy. 2013 Parker, Wendy S.

        Adequacy-for-purpose Confirmation & evaluation

      17. Ensemble modeling, uncertainty and robust predictions. WIREs Climate Change. 2013 Parker, Wendy S.

        Ensemble methods Reliability & uncertainty Robustness

      18. When Climate Models Agree: The Significance of Robust Model Predictions*. Philosophy of Science. 2011 Parker, Wendy S.

        Confirmation & evaluation Ensemble methods Robustness Values

      19. Computer simulation and philosophy of science. Metascience. 2011 Parker, Wendy S.

      20. Whose Probabilities? Predicting Climate Change with Ensembles of Models. Philosophy of Science. 2010 Parker, Wendy S.

        Ensemble methods Probability & possibility Reliability & uncertainty

      21. Comparative Process Tracing and Climate Change Fingerprints. Philosophy of Science. 2010 Parker, Wendy S.

        Attribution Confirmation & evaluation Fingerprint studies

      22. Predicting weather and climate: Uncertainty, ensembles and probability. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2010 Parker, Wendy S.

        Ensemble methods Probability & possibility Reliability & uncertainty

      23. An Instrument for What? Digital Computers, Simulation and Scientific Practice. Spontaneous Generations: A Journal for the History and Philosophy of Science. 2010 Parker, Wendy S.

        Data

      24. II—Wendy S. Parker: Confirmation and adequacy-for-Purpose in Climate Modelling. Aristotelian Society Supplementary Volume. 2009 Parker, Wendy S.

        Confirmation & evaluation Ensemble methods

      25. Does matter really matter? Computer simulations, experiments, and materiality. Synthese. 2008 Parker, Wendy S.

        Confirmation & evaluation Data

      26. Computer simulation through an error-statistical lens. Synthese. 2008 Parker, Wendy S.

        Confirmation & evaluation

      27. Understanding Pluralism in Climate Modeling. Foundations of Science. 2006 Parker, W. S.

        Confirmation & evaluation Ensemble methods Reliability & uncertainty

      Peter, Thomas (1)

      1. Decision strategies for policy decisions under uncertainties: The case of mitigation measures addressing methane emissions from ruminants. Environmental Science & Policy. 2015 Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Brun, Georg, Soliva, Carla Riccarda, Stenke, Andrea, Peter, Thomas

        Decision-making

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      1. Establishing causation in climate litigation: admissibility and reliability. Climatic Change. 2019 Pfrommer, Tobias, Goeschl, Timo, Proelss, Alexander, Carrier, Martin, Lenhard, Johannes, Martin, Henrike, Niemeier, Ulrike, Schmidt, Hauke

        Attribution Extreme events Reliability & uncertainty

      Pielke Sr., Roger A. (1)

      1. Nonlinearities, Feedbacks and Critical Thresholds within the Earth's Climate System. Climatic Change. 2004 Rial, José A., Pielke Sr., Roger A., Beniston, Martin, Claussen, Martin, Canadell, Josep, Cox, Peter, Held, Hermann, de Noblet-Ducoudré, Nathalie, Prinn, Ronald, Reynolds, James F., Salas, José D.

        Abrupt changes & tipping points

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      1. Conceptualizing the transfer of knowledge across cases in transdisciplinary research. Sustainability Science. 2017 Adler, Carolina, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Breu, Thomas, Wiesmann, Urs, Pohl, Christian

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      1. The key role of causal explanation in the climate change issue. THEORIA. An International Journal for Theory, History and Foundations of Science. 2012 Pongiglione, Francesca

        Reliability & uncertainty Understanding & explanation

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      1. Nonlinearities, Feedbacks and Critical Thresholds within the Earth's Climate System. Climatic Change. 2004 Rial, José A., Pielke Sr., Roger A., Beniston, Martin, Claussen, Martin, Canadell, Josep, Cox, Peter, Held, Hermann, de Noblet-Ducoudré, Nathalie, Prinn, Ronald, Reynolds, James F., Salas, José D.

        Abrupt changes & tipping points

      Proelss, Alexander (1)

      1. Establishing causation in climate litigation: admissibility and reliability. Climatic Change. 2019 Pfrommer, Tobias, Goeschl, Timo, Proelss, Alexander, Carrier, Martin, Lenhard, Johannes, Martin, Henrike, Niemeier, Ulrike, Schmidt, Hauke

        Attribution Extreme events Reliability & uncertainty

      Pälike, Heiko (1)

      1. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

        Theoretical foundations Variability

      Qian, Yun (1)

      1. The Art and Science of Climate Model Tuning. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2017 Hourdin, Frédéric, Mauritsen, Thorsten, Gettelman, Andrew, Golaz, Jean-Christophe, Balaji, Venkatramani, Duan, Qingyun, Folini, Doris, Ji, Duoying, Klocke, Daniel, Qian, Yun, Rauser, Florian, Rio, Catherine, Tomassini, Lorenzo, Watanabe, Masahiro, Williamson, Daniel

        Calibration/tuning Confirmation & evaluation Parameterization

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      1. Climate tipping points — too risky to bet against. Nature. 2019 Lenton, Timothy M., Rockström, Johan, Gaffney, Owen, Rahmstorf, Stefan, Richardson, Katherine, Steffen, Will, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim

        Abrupt changes & tipping points

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      1. The Art and Science of Climate Model Tuning. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2017 Hourdin, Frédéric, Mauritsen, Thorsten, Gettelman, Andrew, Golaz, Jean-Christophe, Balaji, Venkatramani, Duan, Qingyun, Folini, Doris, Ji, Duoying, Klocke, Daniel, Qian, Yun, Rauser, Florian, Rio, Catherine, Tomassini, Lorenzo, Watanabe, Masahiro, Williamson, Daniel

        Calibration/tuning Confirmation & evaluation Parameterization

      Rehg, William (1)

      1. “Agreement” in the IPCC Confidence measure. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2017 Rehg, William, Staley, Kent

        Communication of uncertainties Expert judgement Reliability & uncertainty

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      1. Nonlinearities, Feedbacks and Critical Thresholds within the Earth's Climate System. Climatic Change. 2004 Rial, José A., Pielke Sr., Roger A., Beniston, Martin, Claussen, Martin, Canadell, Josep, Cox, Peter, Held, Hermann, de Noblet-Ducoudré, Nathalie, Prinn, Ronald, Reynolds, James F., Salas, José D.

        Abrupt changes & tipping points

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      1. Nonlinearities, Feedbacks and Critical Thresholds within the Earth's Climate System. Climatic Change. 2004 Rial, José A., Pielke Sr., Roger A., Beniston, Martin, Claussen, Martin, Canadell, Josep, Cox, Peter, Held, Hermann, de Noblet-Ducoudré, Nathalie, Prinn, Ronald, Reynolds, James F., Salas, José D.

        Abrupt changes & tipping points

      Richardson, Katherine (2)

      1. Climate tipping points — too risky to bet against. Nature. 2019 Lenton, Timothy M., Rockström, Johan, Gaffney, Owen, Rahmstorf, Stefan, Richardson, Katherine, Steffen, Will, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim

        Abrupt changes & tipping points

      2. Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2018 Steffen, Will, Rockström, Johan, Richardson, Katherine, Lenton, Timothy M., Folke, Carl, Liverman, Diana, Summerhayes, Colin P., Barnosky, Anthony D., Cornell, Sarah E., Crucifix, Michel, Donges, Jonathan F., Fetzer, Ingo, Lade, Steven J., Scheffer, Marten, Winkelmann, Ricarda, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim

        Abrupt changes & tipping points

      Rio, Catherine (1)

      1. The Art and Science of Climate Model Tuning. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2017 Hourdin, Frédéric, Mauritsen, Thorsten, Gettelman, Andrew, Golaz, Jean-Christophe, Balaji, Venkatramani, Duan, Qingyun, Folini, Doris, Ji, Duoying, Klocke, Daniel, Qian, Yun, Rauser, Florian, Rio, Catherine, Tomassini, Lorenzo, Watanabe, Masahiro, Williamson, Daniel

        Calibration/tuning Confirmation & evaluation Parameterization

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      1. False precision, surprise and improved uncertainty assessment. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2015 Parker, Wendy S., Risbey, James S.

        Communication of uncertainties Reliability & uncertainty

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      1. Climate tipping points — too risky to bet against. Nature. 2019 Lenton, Timothy M., Rockström, Johan, Gaffney, Owen, Rahmstorf, Stefan, Richardson, Katherine, Steffen, Will, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim

        Abrupt changes & tipping points

      2. Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2018 Steffen, Will, Rockström, Johan, Richardson, Katherine, Lenton, Timothy M., Folke, Carl, Liverman, Diana, Summerhayes, Colin P., Barnosky, Anthony D., Cornell, Sarah E., Crucifix, Michel, Donges, Jonathan F., Fetzer, Ingo, Lade, Steven J., Scheffer, Marten, Winkelmann, Ricarda, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim

        Abrupt changes & tipping points

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      1. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

        Theoretical foundations Variability

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      1. Learning About Forest Futures Under Climate Change Through Transdisciplinary Collaboration Across Traditional and Western Knowledge Systems. Collaboration Across Boundaries for Social-Ecological Systems Science. 2019 Smithwick, Erica A. H., Caldwell, Christopher, Klippel, Alexander, Scheller, Robert M., Tuana, Nancy, Bird, Rebecca Bliege, Keller, Klaus, Vickers, Dennis, Lucash, Melissa, Nicholas, Robert E., Olson, Stacey, Ruckert, Kelsey L., Oyler, Jared, Helgeson, Casey, Huang, Jiawei

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      1. Climate change tipping points: origins, precursors, and debates. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change. 2015 Russill, Chris

        Abrupt changes & tipping points

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        Regional climate modelling Understanding & explanation

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      1. Practice and philosophy of climate model tuning across six US modeling centers. Geoscientific Model Development. 2017 Schmidt, Gavin A., Bader, David, Donner, Leo J., Elsaesser, Gregory S., Golaz, Jean-Christophe, Hannay, Cecile, Molod, Andrea, Neale, Richard B., Saha, Suranjana

        Calibration/tuning Confirmation & evaluation Ensemble methods

      Salas, José D. (1)

      1. Nonlinearities, Feedbacks and Critical Thresholds within the Earth's Climate System. Climatic Change. 2004 Rial, José A., Pielke Sr., Roger A., Beniston, Martin, Claussen, Martin, Canadell, Josep, Cox, Peter, Held, Hermann, de Noblet-Ducoudré, Nathalie, Prinn, Ronald, Reynolds, James F., Salas, José D.

        Abrupt changes & tipping points

      Scheffer, M. (3)

      1. Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2018 Steffen, Will, Rockström, Johan, Richardson, Katherine, Lenton, Timothy M., Folke, Carl, Liverman, Diana, Summerhayes, Colin P., Barnosky, Anthony D., Cornell, Sarah E., Crucifix, Michel, Donges, Jonathan F., Fetzer, Ingo, Lade, Steven J., Scheffer, Marten, Winkelmann, Ricarda, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim

        Abrupt changes & tipping points

      2. Abrupt Climate Change in an Oscillating World. Scientific Reports. 2018 Bathiany, S., Scheffer, M., van Nes, E. H., Williamson, M. S., Lenton, T. M.

        Abrupt changes & tipping points

      3. Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2015 Drijfhout, Sybren, Bathiany, Sebastian, Beaulieu, Claudie, Brovkin, Victor, Claussen, Martin, Huntingford, Chris, Scheffer, Marten, Sgubin, Giovanni, Swingedouw, Didier

        Abrupt changes & tipping points

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      1. Learning About Forest Futures Under Climate Change Through Transdisciplinary Collaboration Across Traditional and Western Knowledge Systems. Collaboration Across Boundaries for Social-Ecological Systems Science. 2019 Smithwick, Erica A. H., Caldwell, Christopher, Klippel, Alexander, Scheller, Robert M., Tuana, Nancy, Bird, Rebecca Bliege, Keller, Klaus, Vickers, Dennis, Lucash, Melissa, Nicholas, Robert E., Olson, Stacey, Ruckert, Kelsey L., Oyler, Jared, Helgeson, Casey, Huang, Jiawei

      Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim (2)

      1. Climate tipping points — too risky to bet against. Nature. 2019 Lenton, Timothy M., Rockström, Johan, Gaffney, Owen, Rahmstorf, Stefan, Richardson, Katherine, Steffen, Will, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim

        Abrupt changes & tipping points

      2. Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2018 Steffen, Will, Rockström, Johan, Richardson, Katherine, Lenton, Timothy M., Folke, Carl, Liverman, Diana, Summerhayes, Colin P., Barnosky, Anthony D., Cornell, Sarah E., Crucifix, Michel, Donges, Jonathan F., Fetzer, Ingo, Lade, Steven J., Scheffer, Marten, Winkelmann, Ricarda, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim

        Abrupt changes & tipping points

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      1. Practice and philosophy of climate model tuning across six US modeling centers. Geoscientific Model Development. 2017 Schmidt, Gavin A., Bader, David, Donner, Leo J., Elsaesser, Gregory S., Golaz, Jean-Christophe, Hannay, Cecile, Molod, Andrea, Neale, Richard B., Saha, Suranjana

        Calibration/tuning Confirmation & evaluation Ensemble methods

      2. A practical philosophy of complex climate modelling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2014 Schmidt, Gavin A., Sherwood, Steven

        Calibration/tuning Confirmation & evaluation

      Schmidt, Hauke (1)

      1. Establishing causation in climate litigation: admissibility and reliability. Climatic Change. 2019 Pfrommer, Tobias, Goeschl, Timo, Proelss, Alexander, Carrier, Martin, Lenhard, Johannes, Martin, Henrike, Niemeier, Ulrike, Schmidt, Hauke

        Attribution Extreme events Reliability & uncertainty

      Schweizer, Vanessa J. (1)

      1. Objectivity and a comparison of methodological scenario approaches for climate change research. Synthese. 2013 Lloyd, Elisabeth A., Schweizer, Vanessa J.

        Predictions and projections

      Sedláček, Jan (1)

      1. Robustness and uncertainties in the new CMIP5 climate model projections. Nature Climate Change. 2012 Knutti, Reto, Sedláček, Jan

        Ensemble methods Reliability & uncertainty Robustness

      Sgubin, Giovanni (1)

      1. Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2015 Drijfhout, Sybren, Bathiany, Sebastian, Beaulieu, Claudie, Brovkin, Victor, Claussen, Martin, Huntingford, Chris, Scheffer, Marten, Sgubin, Giovanni, Swingedouw, Didier

        Abrupt changes & tipping points

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      1. Environmental catastrophes, climate change, and attribution. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences. 2020 Lloyd, Elisabeth A., Shepherd, Theodore G.

        Attribution Extreme events Storylines

      Sherwood, Steven (1)

      1. A practical philosophy of complex climate modelling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2014 Schmidt, Gavin A., Sherwood, Steven

        Calibration/tuning Confirmation & evaluation

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      1. Verification, Validation, and Confirmation of Numerical Models in the Earth Sciences. Science. 1994 Oreskes, N., Shrader-Frechette, K., Belitz, K.

        Confirmation & evaluation Confirmational holism

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      1. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

        Theoretical foundations Variability

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      1. Bifurcation Analysis of Ocean, Atmosphere, and Climate Models. Handbook of Numerical Analysis. 2009 Simonnet, Eric, Dijkstra, Henk A., Ghil, Michael

        Abrupt changes & tipping points

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      1. Visualizing Natural Environments from Data in Virtual Reality: Combining Realism and Uncertainty. 2019 IEEE Conference on Virtual Reality and 3D User Interfaces (VR). 2019 Huang, Jiawei, Lucash, Melissa S., Simpson, Mark B., Helgeson, Casey, Klippel, Alexander

      Sluijs, Appy (1)

      1. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

        Theoretical foundations Variability

      SMITH, LEONARD A. (9)

      1. An assessment of the foundational assumptions in high-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09. Synthese. 2015 Frigg, Roman, Smith, Leonard A., Stainforth, David A.

        Regional climate modelling Reliability & uncertainty

      2. MODEL ERROR AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTING: A CAUTIONARY TALE. Scientific Explanation and Methodology of Science. 2014 BRADLEY, SEAMUS, FRIGG, ROMAN, DU, HAILIANG, SMITH, LEONARD A.

        Ensemble methods Reliability & uncertainty

      3. Laplace’s Demon and the Adventures of His Apprentices. Philosophy of Science. 2014 Frigg, Roman, Bradley, Seamus, Du, Hailiang, Smith, Leonard A.

        Hawkmoth effect Reliability & uncertainty

      4. The Myopia of Imperfect Climate Models: The Case of UKCP09. Philosophy of Science. 2013 Frigg, Roman, Smith, Leonard A., Stainforth, David A.

        Hawkmoth effect Reliability & uncertainty

      5. Probabilistic Forecasting: Why Model Imperfection Is a Poison Pill. New Challenges to Philosophy of Science. 2013 Frigg, Roman, Bradley, Seamus, Machete, Reason L., Smith, Leonard A.

        Hawkmoth effect Reliability & uncertainty

      6. Uncertainty in science and its role in climate policy. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2011 Smith, Leonard A., Stern, Nicholas

        Communication of uncertainties Decision-making Reliability & uncertainty

      7. Adaptation to Global Warming: Do Climate Models Tell Us What We Need to Know?. Philosophy of Science. 2010 Oreskes, Naomi, Stainforth, David A., Smith, Leonard A.

        Adaptation Confirmation & evaluation Regional climate modelling Reliability & uncertainty

      8. Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2007 Stainforth, D.A, Allen, M.R, Tredger, E.R, Smith, L.A

        Calibration/tuning Decision-making Reliability & uncertainty

      9. What might we learn from climate forecasts?. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2002 Smith, L. A.

        Confirmation & evaluation Hawkmoth effect

      Smithwick, Erica A. H. (1)

      1. Learning About Forest Futures Under Climate Change Through Transdisciplinary Collaboration Across Traditional and Western Knowledge Systems. Collaboration Across Boundaries for Social-Ecological Systems Science. 2019 Smithwick, Erica A. H., Caldwell, Christopher, Klippel, Alexander, Scheller, Robert M., Tuana, Nancy, Bird, Rebecca Bliege, Keller, Klaus, Vickers, Dennis, Lucash, Melissa, Nicholas, Robert E., Olson, Stacey, Ruckert, Kelsey L., Oyler, Jared, Helgeson, Casey, Huang, Jiawei

      Soliva, Carla Riccarda (1)

      1. Decision strategies for policy decisions under uncertainties: The case of mitigation measures addressing methane emissions from ruminants. Environmental Science & Policy. 2015 Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Brun, Georg, Soliva, Carla Riccarda, Stenke, Andrea, Peter, Thomas

        Decision-making

      Srikrishnan, Vivek (1)

      1. Why Simpler Computer Simulation Models Can Be Epistemically Better for Informing Decisions. Philosophy of Science. 2021 Helgeson, Casey, Srikrishnan, Vivek, Keller, Klaus, Tuana, Nancy

        Decision-making

      Stainforth, David A. (4)

      1. An assessment of the foundational assumptions in high-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09. Synthese. 2015 Frigg, Roman, Smith, Leonard A., Stainforth, David A.

        Regional climate modelling Reliability & uncertainty

      2. The Myopia of Imperfect Climate Models: The Case of UKCP09. Philosophy of Science. 2013 Frigg, Roman, Smith, Leonard A., Stainforth, David A.

        Hawkmoth effect Reliability & uncertainty

      3. Adaptation to Global Warming: Do Climate Models Tell Us What We Need to Know?. Philosophy of Science. 2010 Oreskes, Naomi, Stainforth, David A., Smith, Leonard A.

        Adaptation Confirmation & evaluation Regional climate modelling Reliability & uncertainty

      4. Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2007 Stainforth, D.A, Allen, M.R, Tredger, E.R, Smith, L.A

        Calibration/tuning Decision-making Reliability & uncertainty

      Staley, Kent (1)

      1. “Agreement” in the IPCC Confidence measure. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2017 Rehg, William, Staley, Kent

        Communication of uncertainties Expert judgement Reliability & uncertainty

      Stap, Lennert B. (1)

      1. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

        Theoretical foundations Variability

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      1. The unseen uncertainties in climate change: reviewing comprehension of an IPCC scenario graph. Climatic Change. 2015 McMahon, Rosemarie, Stauffacher, Michael, Knutti, Reto

        Communication of uncertainties Reliability & uncertainty Understanding & explanation

      Steele, Katie (5)

      1. Model-Selection Theory: The Need for a More Nuanced Picture of Use-Novelty and Double-Counting. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. 2018 Steele, Katie, Werndl, Charlotte

        Calibration/tuning Confirmation & evaluation

        Full text
        note

        A discussion regarding double-counting in climate modeling, arguing that the use-novel intuition largely held in the scientific community, that data used in tuning cannot be used in confirmation, is too crude. Steele and Werndl maintain that the prominent logics of confirmation do not, for varying reasons, support this intuitive position in full.

      2. The Diversity of Model Tuning Practices in Climate Science. Philosophy of Science. 2016 Steele, Katie, Werndl, Charlotte

        Confirmation & evaluation Confirmational holism

        Full text
        note

        A discussion of what is dubbed the “intuitive position” of calibration and confirmation of climate models. In short, this position states, the tuning of a model directly influences the evaluation of said model, as a result the values used to tune the model cannot be used in the model’s evaluation. Steele and Werndl focus on the diversity of formal calibration methods and how the different perspectives relate to the intuitive position.

      3. Making Climate Decisions. Philosophy Compass. 2015 Bradley, Richard, Steele, Katie

        Decision-making Reliability & uncertainty

      4. Climate Models, Calibration, and Confirmation. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. 2013 Steele, Katie, Werndl, Charlotte

        Calibration/tuning Confirmation & evaluation

        Full text
        note

        A discussion of the problem of double-counting in climate modeling, specifically when the same evidence is used to both calibrate a model and then confirm the adequacy of the results. Steele and Werndl turn to a Baysian approach to argue for a method of incremental confirmation, making double-counting unproblematic. For a response to this argument see Mathias Frisch’s 2015 paper “Predictivism and old evidence: a critical look at climate model tuning”.

      5. The Scientist qua Policy Advisor Makes Value Judgments. Philosophy of Science. 2012 Steele, Katie

        Decision-making Values

      Steffen, Will (2)

      1. Climate tipping points — too risky to bet against. Nature. 2019 Lenton, Timothy M., Rockström, Johan, Gaffney, Owen, Rahmstorf, Stefan, Richardson, Katherine, Steffen, Will, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim

        Abrupt changes & tipping points

      2. Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2018 Steffen, Will, Rockström, Johan, Richardson, Katherine, Lenton, Timothy M., Folke, Carl, Liverman, Diana, Summerhayes, Colin P., Barnosky, Anthony D., Cornell, Sarah E., Crucifix, Michel, Donges, Jonathan F., Fetzer, Ingo, Lade, Steven J., Scheffer, Marten, Winkelmann, Ricarda, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim

        Abrupt changes & tipping points

      Stenke, Andrea (1)

      1. Decision strategies for policy decisions under uncertainties: The case of mitigation measures addressing methane emissions from ruminants. Environmental Science & Policy. 2015 Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Brun, Georg, Soliva, Carla Riccarda, Stenke, Andrea, Peter, Thomas

        Decision-making

      Stern, Nicholas (1)

      1. Uncertainty in science and its role in climate policy. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2011 Smith, Leonard A., Stern, Nicholas

        Communication of uncertainties Decision-making Reliability & uncertainty

      Stott, Peter A. ORCID (1)

      1. Is the choice of statistical paradigm critical in extreme event attribution studies?. Climatic Change. 2017 Stott, Peter A., Karoly, David J., Zwiers, Francis W.

        Attribution Extreme events Reliability & uncertainty

      Summerhayes, Colin P. (1)

      1. Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2018 Steffen, Will, Rockström, Johan, Richardson, Katherine, Lenton, Timothy M., Folke, Carl, Liverman, Diana, Summerhayes, Colin P., Barnosky, Anthony D., Cornell, Sarah E., Crucifix, Michel, Donges, Jonathan F., Fetzer, Ingo, Lade, Steven J., Scheffer, Marten, Winkelmann, Ricarda, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim

        Abrupt changes & tipping points

      Swingedouw, Didier (1)

      1. Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2015 Drijfhout, Sybren, Bathiany, Sebastian, Beaulieu, Claudie, Brovkin, Victor, Claussen, Martin, Huntingford, Chris, Scheffer, Marten, Sgubin, Giovanni, Swingedouw, Didier

        Abrupt changes & tipping points

      Tantet, Alexis (1)

      1. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

        Theoretical foundations Variability

      Tebaldi, Claudia (1)

      1. Mapping model agreement on future climate projections. Geophysical Research Letters. 2011 Tebaldi, Claudia, Arblaster, Julie M., Knutti, Reto

        Ensemble methods Predictions and projections Reliability & uncertainty Robustness

      Thompson, Allen (0)

        Thompson, Erica (3)

        1. Expert Judgment for Climate Change Adaptation. Philosophy of Science. 2016 Thompson, Erica, Frigg, Roman, Helgeson, Casey

          Expert judgement Reliability & uncertainty

        2. Philosophy of Climate Science Part II: Modelling Climate Change. Philosophy Compass. 2015 Frigg, Roman, Thompson, Erica, Werndl, Charlotte

        3. Philosophy of Climate Science Part I: Observing Climate Change. Philosophy Compass. 2015 Frigg, Roman, Thompson, Erica, Werndl, Charlotte

        Tomassini, Lorenzo (1)

        1. The Art and Science of Climate Model Tuning. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2017 Hourdin, Frédéric, Mauritsen, Thorsten, Gettelman, Andrew, Golaz, Jean-Christophe, Balaji, Venkatramani, Duan, Qingyun, Folini, Doris, Ji, Duoying, Klocke, Daniel, Qian, Yun, Rauser, Florian, Rio, Catherine, Tomassini, Lorenzo, Watanabe, Masahiro, Williamson, Daniel

          Calibration/tuning Confirmation & evaluation Parameterization

        Touzé‐Peiffer, Ludovic ORCID (1)

        1. The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project: History, uses, and structural effects on climate research. WIREs Climate Change. 2020 Touzé‐Peiffer, Ludovic, Barberousse, Anouk, Le Treut, Hervé

          Ensemble methods

        Tredger, E.R (1)

        1. Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2007 Stainforth, D.A, Allen, M.R, Tredger, E.R, Smith, L.A

          Calibration/tuning Decision-making Reliability & uncertainty

        Tuana, Nancy (3)

        1. Why Simpler Computer Simulation Models Can Be Epistemically Better for Informing Decisions. Philosophy of Science. 2021 Helgeson, Casey, Srikrishnan, Vivek, Keller, Klaus, Tuana, Nancy

          Decision-making

        2. Learning About Forest Futures Under Climate Change Through Transdisciplinary Collaboration Across Traditional and Western Knowledge Systems. Collaboration Across Boundaries for Social-Ecological Systems Science. 2019 Smithwick, Erica A. H., Caldwell, Christopher, Klippel, Alexander, Scheller, Robert M., Tuana, Nancy, Bird, Rebecca Bliege, Keller, Klaus, Vickers, Dennis, Lucash, Melissa, Nicholas, Robert E., Olson, Stacey, Ruckert, Kelsey L., Oyler, Jared, Helgeson, Casey, Huang, Jiawei

        3. Epistemic and ethical trade-offs in decision analytical modelling. Climatic Change. 2017 Vezér, Martin, Bakker, Alexander, Keller, Klaus, Tuana, Nancy

          Values

        Valdes, Paul J. (1)

        1. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

          Theoretical foundations Variability

        van Bree, Loes G. J. (1)

        1. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

          Theoretical foundations Variability

        van Nes, E. H. (1)

        1. Abrupt Climate Change in an Oscillating World. Scientific Reports. 2018 Bathiany, S., Scheffer, M., van Nes, E. H., Williamson, M. S., Lenton, T. M.

          Abrupt changes & tipping points

        Vezér, Martin (1)

        1. Epistemic and ethical trade-offs in decision analytical modelling. Climatic Change. 2017 Vezér, Martin, Bakker, Alexander, Keller, Klaus, Tuana, Nancy

          Values

        Vezér, Martin A. (2)

        1. Variety-of-evidence reasoning about the distant past. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2016 Vezér, Martin A.

          Data Proxies

        2. Computer models and the evidence of anthropogenic climate change: An epistemology of variety-of-evidence inferences and robustness analysis. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2016 Vezér, Martin A.

          Attribution Ensemble methods Robustness

        Vickers, Dennis (1)

        1. Learning About Forest Futures Under Climate Change Through Transdisciplinary Collaboration Across Traditional and Western Knowledge Systems. Collaboration Across Boundaries for Social-Ecological Systems Science. 2019 Smithwick, Erica A. H., Caldwell, Christopher, Klippel, Alexander, Scheller, Robert M., Tuana, Nancy, Bird, Rebecca Bliege, Keller, Klaus, Vickers, Dennis, Lucash, Melissa, Nicholas, Robert E., Olson, Stacey, Ruckert, Kelsey L., Oyler, Jared, Helgeson, Casey, Huang, Jiawei

        Viebahn, Jan (1)

        1. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

          Theoretical foundations Variability

        Vineis, Paolo (1)

        1. Epistemological issues raised by research on climate change. Causality in the Sciences. 2011 Vineis, Paolo, Khan, Aneire, D'sAbramo, Flavio

        Vitolo, Renato (1)

        1. Tipping points in open systems: bifurcation, noise-induced and rate-dependent examples in the climate system. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2012 Ashwin, Peter, Wieczorek, Sebastian, Vitolo, Renato, Cox, Peter

          Abrupt changes & tipping points

        von der Heydt, Anna S. ORCID (1)

        1. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

          Theoretical foundations Variability

        van de Wal, Roderik S. W. (1)

        1. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

          Theoretical foundations Variability

        Watanabe, Masahiro (1)

        1. The Art and Science of Climate Model Tuning. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2017 Hourdin, Frédéric, Mauritsen, Thorsten, Gettelman, Andrew, Golaz, Jean-Christophe, Balaji, Venkatramani, Duan, Qingyun, Folini, Doris, Ji, Duoying, Klocke, Daniel, Qian, Yun, Rauser, Florian, Rio, Catherine, Tomassini, Lorenzo, Watanabe, Masahiro, Williamson, Daniel

          Calibration/tuning Confirmation & evaluation Parameterization

        Weart, S. (3)

        1. Rise of interdisciplinary research on climate. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2012 Weart, S.

        2. Global warming: How skepticism became denial. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. 2011 Weart, Spencer

        3. The development of general circulation models of climate. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2010 Weart, Spencer

        Weart, Spencer R. (0)

          Weissert, Helmut (1)

          1. Perceiving, explaining, and observing climatic changes: An historical case study of the "year without a summer" 1816. Meteorologische Zeitschrift. 2011 Bodenmann, Tom, Brönnimann, Stefan, Hadorn, Gertrude Hirsch, Krüger, Tobias, Weissert, Helmut

            Understanding & explanation

          Werndl, Charlotte (7)

          1. Initial-Condition Dependence and Initial-Condition Uncertainty in Climate Science. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. 2019 Werndl, Charlotte

            Hawkmoth effect Reliability & uncertainty Theoretical foundations

            Full text
            note

            An outline of predictions and projections in climate science through the lens of initial-condition dependence and initial-condition uncertainty. During the discussion of uncertainty, Werndl outlines two types which had not been discussed to much extent in the philosophical community. This new insight leads to many conclusions throughout the entirety of the paper.

          2. Model-Selection Theory: The Need for a More Nuanced Picture of Use-Novelty and Double-Counting. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. 2018 Steele, Katie, Werndl, Charlotte

            Calibration/tuning Confirmation & evaluation

            Full text
            note

            A discussion regarding double-counting in climate modeling, arguing that the use-novel intuition largely held in the scientific community, that data used in tuning cannot be used in confirmation, is too crude. Steele and Werndl maintain that the prominent logics of confirmation do not, for varying reasons, support this intuitive position in full.

          3. The Diversity of Model Tuning Practices in Climate Science. Philosophy of Science. 2016 Steele, Katie, Werndl, Charlotte

            Confirmation & evaluation Confirmational holism

            Full text
            note

            A discussion of what is dubbed the “intuitive position” of calibration and confirmation of climate models. In short, this position states, the tuning of a model directly influences the evaluation of said model, as a result the values used to tune the model cannot be used in the model’s evaluation. Steele and Werndl focus on the diversity of formal calibration methods and how the different perspectives relate to the intuitive position.

          4. On Defining Climate and Climate Change. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. 2016 Werndl, Charlotte

            Climate & climate change Theoretical foundations

            Full text
            note

            An outline of the ongoing debate regarding how to properly provide a definition of climate and climate change. Werndl first systematizes the debate by providing five desiderata that a proper definition of climate should follow. Ultimately, a number of candidates for a definition are discussed and Werndl argues that a definition focusing on a distribution over time for regimes of varying external conditions is the most promising as it meets all five desiderata.

          5. Philosophy of Climate Science Part II: Modelling Climate Change. Philosophy Compass. 2015 Frigg, Roman, Thompson, Erica, Werndl, Charlotte

          6. Philosophy of Climate Science Part I: Observing Climate Change. Philosophy Compass. 2015 Frigg, Roman, Thompson, Erica, Werndl, Charlotte

          7. Climate Models, Calibration, and Confirmation. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. 2013 Steele, Katie, Werndl, Charlotte

            Calibration/tuning Confirmation & evaluation

            Full text
            note

            A discussion of the problem of double-counting in climate modeling, specifically when the same evidence is used to both calibrate a model and then confirm the adequacy of the results. Steele and Werndl turn to a Baysian approach to argue for a method of incremental confirmation, making double-counting unproblematic. For a response to this argument see Mathias Frisch’s 2015 paper “Predictivism and old evidence: a critical look at climate model tuning”.

          Wieczorek, Sebastian (1)

          1. Tipping points in open systems: bifurcation, noise-induced and rate-dependent examples in the climate system. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2012 Ashwin, Peter, Wieczorek, Sebastian, Vitolo, Renato, Cox, Peter

            Abrupt changes & tipping points

          Wiesmann, Urs (1)

          1. Conceptualizing the transfer of knowledge across cases in transdisciplinary research. Sustainability Science. 2017 Adler, Carolina, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Breu, Thomas, Wiesmann, Urs, Pohl, Christian

          Williamson, Daniel (1)

          1. The Art and Science of Climate Model Tuning. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2017 Hourdin, Frédéric, Mauritsen, Thorsten, Gettelman, Andrew, Golaz, Jean-Christophe, Balaji, Venkatramani, Duan, Qingyun, Folini, Doris, Ji, Duoying, Klocke, Daniel, Qian, Yun, Rauser, Florian, Rio, Catherine, Tomassini, Lorenzo, Watanabe, Masahiro, Williamson, Daniel

            Calibration/tuning Confirmation & evaluation Parameterization

          Williamson, Jon (1)

          1. How Uncertain Do We Need to Be?. Erkenntnis. 2013 Williamson, Jon

            Communication of uncertainties Expert judgement Probability & possibility Reliability & uncertainty

          Williamson, M. S. (1)

          1. Abrupt Climate Change in an Oscillating World. Scientific Reports. 2018 Bathiany, S., Scheffer, M., van Nes, E. H., Williamson, M. S., Lenton, T. M.

            Abrupt changes & tipping points

          Winkelmann, Ricarda (1)

          1. Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2018 Steffen, Will, Rockström, Johan, Richardson, Katherine, Lenton, Timothy M., Folke, Carl, Liverman, Diana, Summerhayes, Colin P., Barnosky, Anthony D., Cornell, Sarah E., Crucifix, Michel, Donges, Jonathan F., Fetzer, Ingo, Lade, Steven J., Scheffer, Marten, Winkelmann, Ricarda, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim

            Abrupt changes & tipping points

          Winsberg, Eric (13)

          1. Severe weather event attribution: Why values won't go away. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2020 Winsberg, Eric, Oreskes, Naomi, Lloyd, Elisabeth

            Attribution Extreme events Values

          2. An antidote for hawkmoths: on the prevalence of structural chaos in non-linear modeling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2019 Nabergall, Lukas, Navas, Alejandro, Winsberg, Eric

            Hawkmoth effect Reliability & uncertainty

          3. What does robustness teach us in climate science: a re-appraisal. Synthese. 2018 Winsberg, Eric

            Confirmation & evaluation Ensemble methods Robustness Values

          4. Philosophy and Climate Science. 2018 Winsberg, Eric

          5. Communicating Uncertainty to Policymakers: The Ineliminable Role of Values. Climate Modelling. 2018 Winsberg, Eric

            Communication of uncertainties Reliability & uncertainty Values

          6. Climate Modelling. 2018 Unknown

          7. Values and evidence: how models make a difference. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2017 Parker, Wendy S., Winsberg, Eric

            Probability & possibility Reliability & uncertainty Values

          8. Missing the Forest for the Fish: How Much Does the ‘Hawkmoth Effect’ Threaten the Viability of Climate Projections?. Philosophy of Science. 2016 Goodwin, William M., Winsberg, Eric

            Hawkmoth effect Reliability & uncertainty

          9. The adventures of climate science in the sweet land of idle arguments. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2016 Winsberg, Eric, Goodwin, William Mark

            Confirmation & evaluation Hawkmoth effect

          10. Introduction to the Special Issue on Philosophy and Climate Science. Journal for General Philosophy of Science. 2015 Winsberg, Eric

            Attribution Extreme events Storylines Values

          11. Accountability and values in radically collaborative research. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2014 Winsberg, Eric, Huebner, Bryce, Kukla, Rebecca

            Values

          12. Values and Uncertainties in the Predictions of Global Climate Models. Kennedy Institute of Ethics Journal. 2012 Winsberg, Eric

            Predictions and projections Reliability & uncertainty Values

          13. Holism, entrenchment, and the future of climate model pluralism. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2010 Lenhard, Johannes, Winsberg, Eric

            Confirmation & evaluation Confirmational holism

          Wüthrich, Nicolas (1)

          1. Conceptualizing Uncertainty: An Assessment of the Uncertainty Framework of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. European Studies in Philosophy of Science. 2017 Wüthrich, Nicolas

            Communication of uncertainties Expert judgement Reliability & uncertainty

          Ziegler, Martin (1)

          1. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. 2016 von der Heydt, Anna S., Dijkstra, Henk A., van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Caballero, Rodrigo, Crucifix, Michel, Foster, Gavin L., Huber, Matthew, Köhler, Peter, Rohling, Eelco, Valdes, Paul J., Ashwin, Peter, Bathiany, Sebastian, Berends, Tijn, van Bree, Loes G. J., Ditlevsen, Peter, Ghil, Michael, Haywood, Alan M., Katzav, Joel, Lohmann, Gerrit, Lohmann, Johannes, Lucarini, Valerio, Marzocchi, Alice, Pälike, Heiko, Baroni, Itzel Ruvalcaba, Simon, Dirk, Sluijs, Appy, Stap, Lennert B., Tantet, Alexis, Viebahn, Jan, Ziegler, Martin

            Theoretical foundations Variability

          Zumwald, Marius (3)

          1. Argument-based assessment of predictive uncertainty of data-driven environmental models. Environmental Modelling & Software. 2020 Knüsel, Benedikt, Baumberger, Christoph, Zumwald, Marius, Bresch, David N., Knutti, Reto

            Data Reliability & uncertainty

          2. Understanding and assessing uncertainty of observational climate datasets for model evaluation using ensembles. WIREs Climate Change. 2020 Zumwald, Marius, Knüsel, Benedikt, Baumberger, Christoph, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Bresch, David N., Knutti, Reto

            Ensemble methods Reliability & uncertainty

          3. Applying big data beyond small problems in climate research. Nature Climate Change. 2019 Knüsel, Benedikt, Zumwald, Marius, Baumberger, Christoph, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Fischer, Erich M., Bresch, David N., Knutti, Reto

            Data

          Zwiers, Francis W. (1)

          1. Is the choice of statistical paradigm critical in extreme event attribution studies?. Climatic Change. 2017 Stott, Peter A., Karoly, David J., Zwiers, Francis W.

            Attribution Extreme events Reliability & uncertainty