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  1. Expert judgment in climate science: How it is used and how it can be justified. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2023 Majszak, Mason M., Jebeile, Julie

    Communication of uncertainties, Expert judgement, Values

  2. Climate tipping points and expert judgment. WIREs Climate Change. 2022 Lam, Vincent, Majszak, Mason M.

    Abrupt changes & tipping points, Earth System Science, Expert judgement, Values

  3. An ineffective antidote for hawkmoths. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2022 Frigg, Roman, Smith, Leonard A.

    Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

  4. On the appropriate and inappropriate uses of probability distributions in climate projections and some alternatives. Climatic Change. 2021 Katzav, Joel, Thompson, Erica L., Risbey, James, Stainforth, David A., Bradley, Seamus, Frisch, Mathias

    Decision-making, Ensemble methods, Expert judgement, Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty

  5. Climate modelling and structural stability. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2021 Lam, Vincent

    Hawkmoth effect, Structural stability, Theoretical foundations

  6. Assessing the quality of state-of-the-art regional climate information: the case of the UK Climate Projections 2018. Climatic Change. 2021 Baldissera Pacchetti, Marina, Dessai, Suraje, Stainforth, David A., Bradley, Seamus

    Adaptation, Adequacy-for-purpose, Climate information distillation, Probability & possibility

  7. Model spread and progress in climate modelling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2021 Jebeile, Julie, Barberousse, Anouk

    Communication of uncertainties, Reliability & uncertainty

  8. Argument-based assessment of predictive uncertainty of data-driven environmental models. Environmental Modelling & Software. 2020 Knüsel, Benedikt, Baumberger, Christoph, Zumwald, Marius, Bresch, David N., Knutti, Reto

    Data, Reliability & uncertainty

  9. Combining probability with qualitative degree-of-certainty metrics in assessment. Climatic Change. 2018 Helgeson, Casey, Bradley, Richard, Hill, Brian

    Communication of uncertainties, Reliability & uncertainty

  10. Building narratives to characterise uncertainty in regional climate change through expert elicitation. Environmental Research Letters. 2018 Dessai, Suraje, Bhave, Ajay, Birch, Cathryn, Conway, Declan, Garcia-Carreras, Luis, Gosling, John Paul, Mittal, Neha, Stainforth, David

    Expert judgement, Regional climate modelling