References »
Whose Probabilities? Predicting Climate Change with Ensembles of Models. Philosophy of Science. 2010
Ensemble methods, Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty
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Contrast classes and agreement in climate modeling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2024
When is an ensemble like a sample? “Model-based” inferences in climate modeling. Synthese. 2022
On the appropriate and inappropriate uses of probability distributions in climate projections and some alternatives. Climatic Change. 2021
Decision-making, Ensemble methods, Expert judgement, Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty
Expert reports by large multidisciplinary groups: the case of the International Panel on Climate Change. Synthese. 2021
Climate change communication, Communication of uncertainties
Value management and model pluralism in climate science. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2021
Multi-model ensembles in climate science: Mathematical structures and expert judgements. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2020
Understanding and assessing uncertainty of observational climate datasets for model evaluation using ensembles. WIREs Climate Change. 2020
The Significance of Robust Climate Projections. In Climate Modelling. 2018
Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods, Reliability & uncertainty, Robustness, Robustness
“Agreement” in the IPCC Confidence measure. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2017
Communication of uncertainties, Expert judgement, Reliability & uncertainty
Empirical Bayes as a Tool. In Boston Studies in the Philosophy and History of Science. 2017
False precision, surprise and improved uncertainty assessment. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2015
An assessment of the foundational assumptions in high-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09. Synthese. 2015
Are climate models credible worlds? Prospects and limitations of possibilistic climate prediction. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2015
Model uncertainty and policy choice: A plea for integrated subjectivism. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2014
Values and uncertainties in climate prediction, revisited. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2014
Confirmation & evaluation, Reliability & uncertainty, Values
Ensemble modeling, uncertainty and robust predictions. WIREs Climate Change. 2013