Values and uncertainties in climate prediction, revisited. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2014 Parker, Wendy S.

Confirmation & evaluation, Reliability & uncertainty, Values

Laplace’s Demon and the Adventures of His Apprentices. Philosophy of Science. 2014 Frigg, Roman, Bradley, Seamus, Du, Hailiang, Smith, Leonard A.

Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

Values and Uncertainties in the Predictions of Global Climate Models. Kennedy Institute of Ethics Journal. 2012 Winsberg, Eric

Predictions and projections, Reliability & uncertainty, Values

Adaptation to Global Warming: Do Climate Models Tell Us What We Need to Know? Philosophy of Science. 2010 Oreskes, Naomi, Stainforth, David A., Smith, Leonard A.

Adaptation, Confirmation & evaluation, Regional climate modelling, Reliability & uncertainty

Whose Probabilities? Predicting Climate Change with Ensembles of Models. Philosophy of Science. 2010 Parker, Wendy S.

Ensemble methods, Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty

Predicting weather and climate: Uncertainty, ensembles and probability. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2010 Parker, Wendy S.

Ensemble methods, Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty

Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2007 Stainforth, D.A, Allen, M.R, Tredger, E.R, Smith, L.A

Calibration/tuning, Decision-making, Reliability & uncertainty

Irreducible imprecision in atmospheric and oceanic simulations. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2007 McWilliams, J. C.

Hawkmoth effect, Theoretical foundations

What might we learn from climate forecasts? Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2002 Smith, L. A.

Confirmation & evaluation, Hawkmoth effect

Climate Models and Robustness Analysis – Part I: Core Concepts and Premises. In Handbook of the Philosophy of Climate Change. 2023 Harris, Margherita, Frigg, Roman

Confirmation & evaluation, Robustness

An ineffective antidote for hawkmoths. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2022 Frigg, Roman, Smith, Leonard A.

Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

Climate modelling and structural stability. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2021 Lam, Vincent

Hawkmoth effect, Structural stability, Theoretical foundations

Assessing the quality of state-of-the-art regional climate information: the case of the UK Climate Projections 2018. Climatic Change. 2021 Baldissera Pacchetti, Marina, Dessai, Suraje, Stainforth, David A., Bradley, Seamus

Adaptation, Adequacy-for-purpose, Climate information distillation, Probability & possibility

Numerical instability and dynamical systems. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2021 Ardourel, Vincent, Jebeile, Julie

Reliability & uncertainty

Values in early-stage climate engineering: The ethical implications of “doing the research”. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2021 Galbraith, Jude

Geoengineering, Inductive risk, Value-free ideal, Values

Multi-model ensembles in climate science: Mathematical structures and expert judgements. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2020 Jebeile, Julie, Crucifix, Michel

Ensemble methods

Structural uncertainty through the lens of model building. Synthese. 2020 Baldissera Pacchetti, Marina

Parameterization, Reliability & uncertainty, Structural model error

Philosophy of Climate Science Part II: Modelling Climate Change. Philosophy Compass. 2015 Frigg, Roman, Thompson, Erica, Werndl, Charlotte