References (14)

The subject ‘Hawkmoth effect’ is applied to these references.

1. An ineffective antidote for hawkmoths. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2022 Frigg, Roman, Smith, Leonard A.

   Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

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2. Climate modelling and structural stability. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2021 Lam, Vincent

   Hawkmoth effect, Structural stability, Theoretical foundations

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3. Climate Models and the Irrelevance of Chaos. Philosophy of Science. 2021 Dethier, Corey

   Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

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4. Initial-Condition Dependence and Initial-Condition Uncertainty in Climate Science. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. 2019 Werndl, Charlotte

   Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty, Theoretical foundations

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   Note

   An outline of predictions and projections in climate science through the lens of initial-condition dependence and initial-condition uncertainty. During the discussion of uncertainty, Werndl outlines two types which had not been discussed to much extent in the philosophical community. This new insight leads to many conclusions throughout the entirety of the paper.

5. An antidote for hawkmoths: on the prevalence of structural chaos in non-linear modeling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2019 Nabergall, Lukas, Navas, Alejandro, Winsberg, Eric

   Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

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6. Missing the Forest for the Fish: How Much Does the ‘Hawkmoth Effect’ Threaten the Viability of Climate Projections? Philosophy of Science. 2016 Goodwin, William M., Winsberg, Eric

   Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

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7. The adventures of climate science in the sweet land of idle arguments. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2016 Winsberg, Eric, Goodwin, William Mark

   Confirmation & evaluation, Hawkmoth effect

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8. Structural Chaos. Philosophy of Science. 2015 Mayo-Wilson, Conor

   Hawkmoth effect

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9. Going back to basics. Nature Climate Change. 2014 Jakob, Christian

   Confirmation & evaluation, Hawkmoth effect, Theoretical foundations

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10. Laplace’s Demon and the Adventures of His Apprentices. Philosophy of Science. 2014 Frigg, Roman, Bradley, Seamus, Du, Hailiang, Smith, Leonard A.

    Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

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11. The Myopia of Imperfect Climate Models: The Case of UKCP09. Philosophy of Science. 2013 Frigg, Roman, Smith, Leonard A., Stainforth, David A.

    Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

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12. Probabilistic Forecasting: Why Model Imperfection Is a Poison Pill. In New Challenges to Philosophy of Science. 2013 Frigg, Roman, Bradley, Seamus, Machete, Reason L., Smith, Leonard A.

    Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

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13. Irreducible imprecision in atmospheric and oceanic simulations. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2007 McWilliams, J. C.

    Hawkmoth effect, Theoretical foundations

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14. What might we learn from climate forecasts? Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2002 Smith, L. A.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Hawkmoth effect

    Full textCitesCited by