2013
References (17)
References published this year, ordered by earliest, online or print, publication date.
Getting (even more) serious about similarity. Biology & Philosophy. 2013
The Myopia of Imperfect Climate Models: The Case of UKCP09. Philosophy of Science. 2013
Chaos, Plurality, and Model Metrics in Climate Science. In Models, Simulations, and the Reduction of Complexity. 2013
Objectivity and a comparison of methodological scenario approaches for climate change research. Synthese. 2013
Severe testing of climate change hypotheses. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2013
Values and Uncertainty in Simulation Models. Erkenntnis. 2013
How Uncertain Do We Need to Be? Erkenntnis. 2013
Communication of uncertainties, Expert judgement, Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty
Climate Change Policy: What Do the Models Tell Us? Journal of Economic Literature. 2013
Adequacy-for-purpose, Cost-benefit analysis, Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs), Values
Climate Models, Calibration, and Confirmation. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. 2013
Calibration/tuning, Confirmation & evaluation
Full textCitesCited byNote
A discussion of the problem of double-counting in climate modeling, specifically when the same evidence is used to both calibrate a model and then confirm the adequacy of the results. Steele and Werndl turn to a Baysian approach to argue for a method of incremental confirmation, making double-counting unproblematic. For a response to this argument see Mathias Frisch’s 2015 paper “Predictivism and old evidence: a critical look at climate model tuning”.
Ensemble modeling, uncertainty and robust predictions. WIREs Climate Change. 2013
Reconceptualizing the ‘Anthropos’ in the Anthropocene: Integrating the social sciences and humanities in global environmental change research. Environmental Science & Policy. 2013
Hybrid Models, Climate Models, and Inference to the Best Explanation. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. 2013
Modeling Climate Policies: A Critical Look at Integrated Assessment Models. Philosophy & Technology. 2013
In defence of the value free ideal. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2013
An expert judgement assessment of future sea level rise from the ice sheets. Nature Climate Change. 2013
Probabilistic Forecasting: Why Model Imperfection Is a Poison Pill. In New Challenges to Philosophy of Science. 2013