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The adventures of climate science in the sweet land of idle arguments. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2016 Winsberg, Eric, Goodwin, William Mark

Confirmation & evaluation, Hawkmoth effect

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Cites (6)

Citations in the corpus, listed by decreasing publication date.

  1. On Defining Climate and Climate Change. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. 2016 Werndl, Charlotte

    Climate & climate change, Theoretical foundations

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    Note

    An outline of the ongoing debate regarding how to properly provide a definition of climate and climate change. Werndl first systematizes the debate by providing five desiderata that a proper definition of climate should follow. Ultimately, a number of candidates for a definition are discussed and Werndl argues that a definition focusing on a distribution over time for regimes of varying external conditions is the most promising as it meets all five desiderata.

  2. MODEL ERROR AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTING: A CAUTIONARY TALE. In Scientific Explanation and Methodology of Science. 2014 Bradley, Seamus, Frigg, Roman, Du, Hailiang, Smith, Leonard A.

    Ensemble methods, Reliability & uncertainty

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  3. Laplace’s Demon and the Adventures of His Apprentices. Philosophy of Science. 2014 Frigg, Roman, Bradley, Seamus, Du, Hailiang, Smith, Leonard A.

    Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

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  4. The Myopia of Imperfect Climate Models: The Case of UKCP09. Philosophy of Science. 2013 Frigg, Roman, Smith, Leonard A., Stainforth, David A.

    Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

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  5. II—Wendy S. Parker: Confirmation and adequacy-for-Purpose in Climate Modelling. Aristotelian Society Supplementary Volume. 2009 Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods

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  6. What might we learn from climate forecasts? Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2002 Smith, L. A.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Hawkmoth effect

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Cited by (6)

Cited by these reference in the corpus, listed by decreasing publication date.

  1. An ineffective antidote for hawkmoths. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2022 Frigg, Roman, Smith, Leonard A.

    Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

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  2. Climate modelling and structural stability. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2021 Lam, Vincent

    Hawkmoth effect, Structural stability, Theoretical foundations

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  3. Numerical instability and dynamical systems. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2021 Ardourel, Vincent, Jebeile, Julie

    Reliability & uncertainty

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  4. Values in early-stage climate engineering: The ethical implications of “doing the research”. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2021 Galbraith, Jude

    Geoengineering, Inductive risk, Value-free ideal, Values

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  5. An antidote for hawkmoths: on the prevalence of structural chaos in non-linear modeling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2019 Nabergall, Lukas, Navas, Alejandro, Winsberg, Eric

    Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

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  6. Empirical Bayes as a Tool. In Boston Studies in the Philosophy and History of Science. 2017 Barberousse, Anouk

    Attribution

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