Going back to basics. Nature Climate Change. 2014 Jakob, Christian

Confirmation & evaluation, Hawkmoth effect, Theoretical foundations

Climate forecasting: Build high-resolution global climate models. Nature. 2014 Palmer, Tim

Earth System Science, MIB strategy, Predictions and projections

Severe testing of climate change hypotheses. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2013 Katzav, Joel

Confirmation & evaluation

Whose Probabilities? Predicting Climate Change with Ensembles of Models. Philosophy of Science. 2010 Parker, Wendy S.

Ensemble methods, Probability & possibility, Uncertainties

Toward a New Generation of World Climate Research and Computing Facilities. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2010 Shukla, J., Palmer, T. N., Hagedorn, R., Hoskins, B., Kinter, J., Marotzke, J., Miller, M., Slingo, J.

Earth System Science, MIB strategy

Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2007 Stainforth, D.A, Allen, M.R, Tredger, E.R, Smith, L.A

Calibration/tuning, Decision-making, Uncertainties

Irreducible imprecision in atmospheric and oceanic simulations. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2007 McWilliams, J. C.

Hawkmoth effect, Theoretical foundations

The Gap between Simulation and Understanding in Climate Modeling. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2005 Held, Isaac M.

Confirmation & evaluation, Understanding & explanation

What might we learn from climate forecasts? Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2002 Smith, L. A.

Confirmation & evaluation, Hawkmoth effect

The futures of climate modeling. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. 2025 Bordoni, S., Kang, S. M., Shaw, T. A., Simpson, I. R., Zanna, L.

Moving beyond post hoc explainable artificial intelligence: a perspective paper on lessons learned from dynamical climate modeling. Geoscientific Model Development. 2025 O'Loughlin, Ryan J.

Machine Learning, Understanding & explanation

When is an ensemble like a sample? “Model-based” inferences in climate modeling. Synthese. 2022 Dethier, Corey

Ensemble methods, Uncertainties

On the appropriate and inappropriate uses of probability distributions in climate projections and some alternatives. Climatic Change. 2021 Katzav, Joel, Thompson, Erica L., Risbey, James, Stainforth, David A., Bradley, Seamus, Frisch, Mathias

Decision-making, Ensemble methods, Expert judgement, Probability & possibility, Uncertainties

Expert reports by large multidisciplinary groups: the case of the International Panel on Climate Change. Synthese. 2021 Drouet, Isabelle, Andler, Daniel, Barberousse, Anouk, Jebeile, Julie

Climate change communication, Communication of uncertainties

Model spread and progress in climate modelling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2021 Jebeile, Julie, Barberousse, Anouk

Communication of uncertainties, Uncertainties

Understanding climate phenomena with data-driven models. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2020 Knüsel, Benedikt, Baumberger, Christoph

Understanding & explanation

Multi-model ensembles in climate science: Mathematical structures and expert judgements. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2020 Jebeile, Julie, Crucifix, Michel

Ensemble methods

The strategy of model building in climate science. Synthese. 2020 Walmsley, Lachlan Douglas

The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project: History, uses, and structural effects on climate research. WIREs Climate Change. 2020 Touzé‐Peiffer, Ludovic, Barberousse, Anouk, Le Treut, Hervé

Ensemble methods

Applying big data beyond small problems in climate research. Nature Climate Change. 2019 Knüsel, Benedikt, Zumwald, Marius, Baumberger, Christoph, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Fischer, Erich M., Bresch, David N., Knutti, Reto

Data

Issues in the theoretical foundations of climate science. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2018 Katzav, Joel, Parker, Wendy S.

Climate & climate change, Theoretical foundations, Variability