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Model-Selection Theory: The Need for a More Nuanced Picture of Use-Novelty and Double-Counting. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. 2018 Steele, Katie, Werndl, Charlotte

Calibration/tuning, Confirmation & evaluation

A discussion regarding double-counting in climate modeling, arguing that the use-novel intuition largely held in the scientific community, that data used in tuning cannot be used in confirmation, is too crude. Steele and Werndl maintain that the prominent logics of confirmation do not, for varying reasons, support this intuitive position in full.

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  1. Structural uncertainty through the lens of model building. Synthese. 2020 Baldissera Pacchetti, Marina

    Parameterization, Reliability & uncertainty, Structural model error