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  1. An ineffective antidote for hawkmoths. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2022 Frigg, Roman, Smith, Leonard A.

    Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

  2. Climate modelling and structural stability. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2021 Lam, Vincent

    Hawkmoth effect, Structural stability, Theoretical foundations

  3. An antidote for hawkmoths: on the prevalence of structural chaos in non-linear modeling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2019 Nabergall, Lukas, Navas, Alejandro, Winsberg, Eric

    Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

  4. Climate Model Confirmation: From Philosophy to Predicting Climate in the Real World. In Lloyd, Elisabeth A., Winsberg, Eric (eds.) Climate Modelling. 2018 Knutti, Reto

    Confirmation & evaluation, Predictions and projections

  5. Communicating Uncertainty to Policymakers: The Ineliminable Role of Values. In Climate Modelling. 2018 Winsberg, Eric

    Communication of uncertainties, Reliability & uncertainty, Values

  6. The adventures of climate science in the sweet land of idle arguments. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2016 Winsberg, Eric, Goodwin, William Mark

    Confirmation & evaluation, Hawkmoth effect

  7. The future of climate modeling. Climatic Change. 2015 Katzav, Joel, Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation

  8. An assessment of the foundational assumptions in high-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09. Synthese. 2015 Frigg, Roman, Smith, Leonard A., Stainforth, David A.

    Regional climate modelling, Reliability & uncertainty

  9. Values and uncertainties in climate prediction, revisited. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2014 Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Reliability & uncertainty, Values

  10. Uncertainty in science and its role in climate policy. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2011 Smith, Leonard A., Stern, Nicholas

    Communication of uncertainties, Decision-making, Reliability & uncertainty

  11. Holism, entrenchment, and the future of climate model pluralism. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2010 Lenhard, Johannes, Winsberg, Eric

    Confirmation & evaluation, Confirmational holism

  12. Predicting weather and climate: Uncertainty, ensembles and probability. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2010 Parker, Wendy S.

    Ensemble methods, Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty

  13. Should we believe model predictions of future climate change? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2008 Knutti, Reto

    Confirmation & evaluation, Reliability & uncertainty

  14. Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2007 Stainforth, D.A, Allen, M.R, Tredger, E.R, Smith, L.A

    Calibration/tuning, Decision-making, Reliability & uncertainty

  15. Does climate adaptation policy need probabilities? 2004 Dessai, Suraje, Hulme, Mike

    Adaptation, Adaptation, Climate-policy, Probability & possibility