References »
What might we learn from climate forecasts? Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2002
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An ineffective antidote for hawkmoths. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2022
Climate modelling and structural stability. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2021
Hawkmoth effect, Structural stability, Theoretical foundations
An antidote for hawkmoths: on the prevalence of structural chaos in non-linear modeling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2019
Climate Model Confirmation: From Philosophy to Predicting Climate in the Real World. In Lloyd, Elisabeth A., Winsberg, Eric (eds.) Climate Modelling. 2018
Communicating Uncertainty to Policymakers: The Ineliminable Role of Values. In Climate Modelling. 2018
Communication of uncertainties, Reliability & uncertainty, Values
The adventures of climate science in the sweet land of idle arguments. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2016
An assessment of the foundational assumptions in high-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09. Synthese. 2015
Values and uncertainties in climate prediction, revisited. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2014
Confirmation & evaluation, Reliability & uncertainty, Values
Uncertainty in science and its role in climate policy. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2011
Communication of uncertainties, Decision-making, Reliability & uncertainty
Holism, entrenchment, and the future of climate model pluralism. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2010
Predicting weather and climate: Uncertainty, ensembles and probability. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2010
Ensemble methods, Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty
Should we believe model predictions of future climate change? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2008
Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2007
Calibration/tuning, Decision-making, Reliability & uncertainty
Does climate adaptation policy need probabilities? 2004
Adaptation, Adaptation, Climate-policy, Probability & possibility