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1. Is reliable climate change information ‘predictably uncertain’? European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2026 Ackermann, Matthias

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2. An ineffective antidote for hawkmoths. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2022 Frigg, Roman, Smith, Leonard A.

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3. Climate modelling and structural stability. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2021 Lam, Vincent

   Hawkmoth effect, Theoretical foundations

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4. Storyline approach to the construction of regional climate change information. Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2019 Shepherd, Theodore G.

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5. An antidote for hawkmoths: on the prevalence of structural chaos in non-linear modeling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2019 Nabergall, Lukas, Navas, Alejandro, Winsberg, Eric

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6. Climate Model Confirmation: From Philosophy to Predicting Climate in the Real World. In Lloyd, Elisabeth A., Winsberg, Eric (eds.) Climate Modelling. 2018 Knutti, Reto

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7. Communicating Uncertainty to Policymakers: The Ineliminable Role of Values. In Climate Modelling. 2018 Winsberg, Eric

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8. The adventures of climate science in the sweet land of idle arguments. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2016 Winsberg, Eric, Goodwin, William Mark

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9. The future of climate modeling. Climatic Change. 2015 Katzav, Joel, Parker, Wendy S.

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10. An assessment of the foundational assumptions in high-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09. Synthese. 2015 Frigg, Roman, Smith, Leonard A., Stainforth, David A.

    Regional climate modelling, Uncertainties

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11. Tales of future weather. Nature Climate Change. 2015 Hazeleger, W., van den Hurk, B.J.J.M., Min, E., Petersen, A.C., Stainforth, D.A., Vasileiadou, E., Smith, L.A.

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12. Values and uncertainties in climate prediction, revisited. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2014 Parker, Wendy S.

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13. Uncertainty in science and its role in climate policy. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2011 Smith, Leonard A., Stern, Nicholas

    Communication of uncertainties, Decision-making, Uncertainties

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14. Holism, entrenchment, and the future of climate model pluralism. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2010 Lenhard, Johannes, Winsberg, Eric

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15. Predicting weather and climate: Uncertainty, ensembles and probability. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2010 Parker, Wendy S.

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16. Should we believe model predictions of future climate change? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2008 Knutti, Reto

    Confirmation & evaluation, Uncertainties

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17. Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2007 Stainforth, D.A, Allen, M.R, Tredger, E.R, Smith, L.A

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18. Does climate adaptation policy need probabilities? 2004 Dessai, Suraje, Hulme, Mike

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