References »
A practical philosophy of complex climate modelling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2014
Cites (9)
Citations in the corpus, listed by decreasing publication date.
Values and uncertainties in climate prediction, revisited. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2014
Confirmation & evaluation, Reliability & uncertainty, Values
The epistemology of climate models and some of its implications for climate science and the philosophy of science. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2014
Confirmation & evaluation, Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty
Climate Models, Calibration, and Confirmation. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. 2013
Calibration/tuning, Confirmation & evaluation
Full textCitesCited byNote
A discussion of the problem of double-counting in climate modeling, specifically when the same evidence is used to both calibrate a model and then confirm the adequacy of the results. Steele and Werndl turn to a Baysian approach to argue for a method of incremental confirmation, making double-counting unproblematic. For a response to this argument see Mathias Frisch’s 2015 paper “Predictivism and old evidence: a critical look at climate model tuning”.
In defence of the value free ideal. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2013
Assessing climate model projections: State of the art and philosophical reflections. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2012
Values and Uncertainties in the Predictions of Global Climate Models. Kennedy Institute of Ethics Journal. 2012
Predictions and projections, Reliability & uncertainty, Values
Confirmation and Robustness of Climate Models. Philosophy of Science. 2010
Holism, entrenchment, and the future of climate model pluralism. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2010
Should we believe model predictions of future climate change? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2008
Cited by (11)
Cited by these reference in the corpus, listed by decreasing publication date.
Diagnosing errors in climate model intercomparisons. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2023
When is an ensemble like a sample? “Model-based” inferences in climate modeling. Synthese. 2022
On the appropriate and inappropriate uses of probability distributions in climate projections and some alternatives. Climatic Change. 2021
Decision-making, Ensemble methods, Expert judgement, Probability & possibility, Reliability & uncertainty
Robustness reasoning in climate model comparisons. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2021
Philosophical Perspectives on Earth System Modeling: Truth, Adequacy, and Understanding. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 2020
Philosophical Perspectives on Earth System Modeling: Truth, Adequacy, and Understanding. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 2020
Adequacy-for-purpose, Confirmation & evaluation, Understanding & explanation
Climate Models: How to Assess Their Reliability. International Studies in the Philosophy of Science. 2019
Confirmation & evaluation, Confirmational holism, Robustness
What Types of Values Enter Simulation Validation and What Are Their Roles? In Simulation Foundations, Methods and Applications. 2019
Practice and philosophy of climate model tuning across six US modeling centers. Geoscientific Model Development. 2017
Calibration/tuning, Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods
Philosophy of Climate Science Part II: Modelling Climate Change. Philosophy Compass. 2015
Are climate models credible worlds? Prospects and limitations of possibilistic climate prediction. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2015