Mapping model agreement on future climate projections. Geophysical Research Letters. 2011 Tebaldi, Claudia, Arblaster, Julie M., Knutti, Reto

Ensemble methods, Predictions and projections, Reliability & uncertainty, Robustness

When Climate Models Agree: The Significance of Robust Model Predictions*. Philosophy of Science. 2011 Parker, Wendy S.

Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods, Robustness, Values

Confirmation and Robustness of Climate Models. Philosophy of Science. 2010 Lloyd, Elisabeth A.

Confirmation & evaluation, Robustness

Holism, entrenchment, and the future of climate model pluralism. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2010 Lenhard, Johannes, Winsberg, Eric

Confirmation & evaluation, Confirmational holism

II—Wendy S. Parker: Confirmation and adequacy-for-Purpose in Climate Modelling. Aristotelian Society Supplementary Volume. 2009 Parker, Wendy S.

Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods

I—Elisabeth A. Lloyd: Varieties of Support and Confirmation of Climate Models. Aristotelian Society Supplementary Volume. 2009 Lloyd, Elisabeth A.

Confirmation & evaluation, Robustness, Values

Does matter really matter? Computer simulations, experiments, and materiality. Synthese. 2008 Parker, Wendy S.

Confirmation & evaluation, Data

Should we believe model predictions of future climate change? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2008 Knutti, Reto

Confirmation & evaluation, Reliability & uncertainty

Understanding Pluralism in Climate Modeling. Foundations of Science. 2006 Parker, W. S.

Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods, Reliability & uncertainty

Does climate adaptation policy need probabilities? 2004 Dessai, Suraje, Hulme, Mike

Adaptation, Adaptation, Climate-policy, Probability & possibility

What might we learn from climate forecasts? Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2002 Smith, L. A.

Confirmation & evaluation, Hawkmoth effect

Verification, Validation, and Confirmation of Numerical Models in the Earth Sciences. Science. 1994 Oreskes, Naomi, Shrader-Frechette, Kristin, Belitz, Kenneth

Confirmation & evaluation, Confirmational holism

Diagnosing errors in climate model intercomparisons. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2023 O’Loughlin, Ryan

Confirmation & evaluation, Robustness

Climate modelling and structural stability. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2021 Lam, Vincent

Hawkmoth effect, Structural stability, Theoretical foundations

Understanding climate change with statistical downscaling and machine learning. Synthese. 2020 Jebeile, Julie, Lam, Vincent, Räz, Tim

Regional climate modelling, Understanding & explanation

Understanding and assessing uncertainty of observational climate datasets for model evaluation using ensembles. WIREs Climate Change. 2020 Zumwald, Marius, Knüsel, Benedikt, Baumberger, Christoph, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude, Bresch, David N., Knutti, Reto

Ensemble methods, Reliability & uncertainty

Uncertainty Quantification Using Multiple Models—Prospects and Challenges. In Simulation Foundations, Methods and Applications. 2019 Knutti, Reto, Baumberger, Christoph, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude

Ensemble methods, Reliability & uncertainty