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Cites (17)

Citations in the corpus, listed by decreasing publication date.

  1. An antidote for hawkmoths: on the prevalence of structural chaos in non-linear modeling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2019 Nabergall, Lukas, Navas, Alejandro, Winsberg, Eric

    Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

  2. Philosophy and Climate Science. 2018 Winsberg, Eric

  3. Climate Model Confirmation: From Philosophy to Predicting Climate in the Real World. In Lloyd, Elisabeth A., Winsberg, Eric (eds.) Climate Modelling. 2018 Knutti, Reto

    Confirmation & evaluation, Predictions and projections

  4. Building confidence in climate model projections: an analysis of inferences from fit. WIREs Climate Change. 2017 Baumberger, Christoph, Knutti, Reto, Hirsch Hadorn, Gertrude

    Confirmation & evaluation, Robustness

  5. Missing the Forest for the Fish: How Much Does the ‘Hawkmoth Effect’ Threaten the Viability of Climate Projections? Philosophy of Science. 2016 Goodwin, William M., Winsberg, Eric

    Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

  6. Expert Judgment for Climate Change Adaptation. Philosophy of Science. 2016 Thompson, Erica, Frigg, Roman, Helgeson, Casey

    Expert judgement, Reliability & uncertainty

  7. The adventures of climate science in the sweet land of idle arguments. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2016 Winsberg, Eric, Goodwin, William Mark

    Confirmation & evaluation, Hawkmoth effect

  8. Structural Chaos. Philosophy of Science. 2015 Mayo-Wilson, Conor

    Hawkmoth effect

  9. An assessment of the foundational assumptions in high-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09. Synthese. 2015 Frigg, Roman, Smith, Leonard A., Stainforth, David A.

    Regional climate modelling, Reliability & uncertainty

  10. MODEL ERROR AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTING: A CAUTIONARY TALE. In Scientific Explanation and Methodology of Science. 2014 Bradley, Seamus, Frigg, Roman, Du, Hailiang, Smith, Leonard A.

    Ensemble methods, Reliability & uncertainty

  11. Laplace’s Demon and the Adventures of His Apprentices. Philosophy of Science. 2014 Frigg, Roman, Bradley, Seamus, Du, Hailiang, Smith, Leonard A.

    Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

  12. The Myopia of Imperfect Climate Models: The Case of UKCP09. Philosophy of Science. 2013 Frigg, Roman, Smith, Leonard A., Stainforth, David A.

    Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

  13. Probabilistic Forecasting: Why Model Imperfection Is a Poison Pill. In New Challenges to Philosophy of Science. 2013 Frigg, Roman, Bradley, Seamus, Machete, Reason L., Smith, Leonard A.

    Hawkmoth effect, Reliability & uncertainty

  14. Tipping points in open systems: bifurcation, noise-induced and rate-dependent examples in the climate system. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2012 Ashwin, Peter, Wieczorek, Sebastian, Vitolo, Renato, Cox, Peter

    Abrupt changes & tipping points

  15. II—Wendy S. Parker: Confirmation and adequacy-for-Purpose in Climate Modelling. Aristotelian Society Supplementary Volume. 2009 Parker, Wendy S.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Ensemble methods

  16. Irreducible imprecision in atmospheric and oceanic simulations. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2007 McWilliams, J. C.

    Hawkmoth effect, Theoretical foundations

  17. What might we learn from climate forecasts? Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2002 Smith, L. A.

    Confirmation & evaluation, Hawkmoth effect

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