References »
The Gap between Simulation and Understanding in Climate Modeling. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2005
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The futures of climate modeling. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. 2025
Moving beyond post hoc explainable artificial intelligence: a perspective paper on lessons learned from dynamical climate modeling. Geoscientific Model Development. 2025
Diagnosing errors in climate model intercomparisons. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2023
Understanding climate phenomena with data-driven models. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2020
Argument-based assessment of predictive uncertainty of data-driven environmental models. Environmental Modelling & Software. 2020
Historical, Philosophical, and Sociological Perspectives on Earth System Modeling. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 2020
Climate & climate change, Earth System Science, Predictions and projections
Multi-model ensembles in climate science: Mathematical structures and expert judgements. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A. 2020
Understanding climate change with statistical downscaling and machine learning. Synthese. 2020
Machine Learning, Regional climate modelling, Understanding & explanation
The strategy of model building in climate science. Synthese. 2020
Philosophical Perspectives on Earth System Modeling: Truth, Adequacy, and Understanding. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 2020
Philosophical Perspectives on Earth System Modeling: Truth, Adequacy, and Understanding. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 2020
Adequacy-for-purpose, Confirmation & evaluation, Understanding & explanation
Epistemology and Politics in Earth System Modeling: Historical Perspectives. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 2019
Climate & climate change, Earth System Science, Predictions and projections
What Types of Values Enter Simulation Validation and What Are Their Roles? In Simulation Foundations, Methods and Applications. 2019
Uncertainty Quantification Using Multiple Models—Prospects and Challenges. In Simulation Foundations, Methods and Applications. 2019
On Rationales for Cognitive Values in the Assessment of Scientific Representations. Journal for General Philosophy of Science. 2018
Climate Model Confirmation: From Philosophy to Predicting Climate in the Real World. In Lloyd, Elisabeth A., Winsberg, Eric (eds.) Climate Modelling. 2018
The Art and Science of Climate Model Tuning. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2017
Calibration/tuning, Confirmation & evaluation, Parameterization
Philosophy of Climate Science Part II: Modelling Climate Change. Philosophy Compass. 2015
A practical philosophy of complex climate modelling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. 2014
Simulation and Understanding in the Study of Weather and Climate. Perspectives on Science. 2014
Uncertainty in science and its role in climate policy. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2011
Communication of uncertainties, Decision-making, Uncertainties
Holism, entrenchment, and the future of climate model pluralism. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics. 2010
I—Elisabeth A. Lloyd: Varieties of Support and Confirmation of Climate Models. Aristotelian Society Supplementary Volume. 2009
Bifurcation Analysis of Ocean, Atmosphere, and Climate Models. In Handbook of Numerical Analysis. 2009
Should we believe model predictions of future climate change? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2008
Irreducible imprecision in atmospheric and oceanic simulations. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2007