Seminar Spring 2020

Philosophical issues in modeling climate change

Organized by Julie Jebeile, Ralf Hand, Vincent Lam, Jakob Zscheischler.


Uni Mittelstrasse 43, Seminarraum 324, 14:15–16:00.
Except on the 2020–04–24: Seminarraum 124.

2020–02–21 Introduction & overview of climate modelling

Müller, P. (2010). Constructing Climate Knowledge With Computer Models. WIREs Climate Change, 1, 565–580.  Full text

2020–03–06 Uncertainty in climate change projections

Stainforth, D. et al. (2007). Confidence, Uncertainty and Decision-Support Relevance in Climate Predictions. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 365, 2145–61. Full text

Parker, W. (2010). Whose Probabilities? Predicting Climate Change with Ensembles of Models. Philosophy of Science, 77, 985–999. Full text

2020–03–13 Climate model evaluation

Baumberger, C., Knutti, R. and Hirsch Hadron, G. (2017). Building confidence in climate model projections: an analysis from fit. WIREs Climate Change, e454. Full text

Lloyd, E. A. (2009). Varieties of Support and Confirmation of Climate Models. Proceedings of the Aristotelian Society Supplementary Volume, 83, 213–232. Full text

Parker, W. S. (2009). Confirmation and Adequacy-For-Purpose in Climate Modelling. Proceedings of the Aristotelian Society Supplementary Volume, 83, 233–249. Full text

2020–03–20 Values in climate science

Parker, W. S. & Winsberg, E. (2018) Values and evidence: how models make a difference. European Journal for Philosophy of Science, 8(1), 125–142. Full text

Intemann, K. (2015) Distinguishing between legitimate and illegitimate values in climate modeling. European Journal for Philosophy of Science, 5, 217–232. Full text

2020–04-03 Attribution of climate change and climate extremes

Lloyd, E. A. and Oreskes, N. (2018). Climate Change Attribution: When Is It Appropriate to Accept New Methods? Earth's Future, 6, 311-325. Full text

Stott, P. A., Stone, D. A., and Allen, M. R. (2004). Human contribution to the European heatwave of 2003. Nature, 432, 610-614. Full text

Winsberg, E., Oreskes, N. and Lloyd, E. A. (2019). Severe Weather Attribution: Why values won't go away. Full text

2020–04–24 Climate change and ethical issues

Change of venue: Seminarraum 124

Caney, S. (2009). Climate Change and the Future: Discounting for Time, Wealth and Risk. Journal of Social Philosophy, 40, 163–186. Full text

Broome, J. (2008). The Ethics of Climate Change. Scientific American, June, 69–73. Full text

Caney, S. (2016). The Struggle for Climate Justice in a Non-ideal World. Midwest Studies in Philosophy XL:1 “Ethics and Global Climate Change”, 9–26. Full text

2020–05–15 Adaptation and regional climate modeling

Oreskes, N., Stainforth, D. A. and Smith, L. A. (2010). Adaptation to Global Warming: Do Climate Models Tell Us What We Need to Know? Philosophy of Science, 77, 1012–1028. Full text

Hall, A. (2014). Projecting regional change. Science, 346, 1461–1462. Full text

Maraun, D. and Widmann, M. (2018). Statistical Downscaling and Bias Correction for Climate Research. Cambridge University Press, chapter 17. Full text

Background readings

Frigg, R., Thompson, E. & Werndl, C. (2015). Philosophy of Climate Science Part I: Observing Climate Change. Philosophy Compass 10/12, 953–964. Full text

Frigg, R., Thompson, E. & Werndl, C. (2015). Philosophy of Climate Science Part II: Modelling Climate Change. Philosophy Compass 10/12, 965–977. Full text

Bradley R. & Steele K. (2015). Philosophy of Climate Science Part III: Making Climate Decisions. Philosophy Compass, 10/11, 799–810. Full text

Parker, W. (2018). Climate Science. The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy, Summer 2018 Edition. Full text

Winsberg, E. (2018), Philosophy and Climate Science. Cambridge University Press. Full text